Box-Jenkins 모형을 이용한 육계가격 예측

Abstract

The problem of predicting what will happen in the future is extremely important because many of the decision we make in our everyday lives are based upon predictions of conditions that are likely to exist in the future. However, predicting the prices of agricultural products is very difficult because there are so many uncertain factors in the demand and production of the agricultural products. The Box-Jenkins methodology is very strong tool to forecast especially for the short-term or medium-term using historical observations of time series. In this paper the Box-Jenkins methodology is applied to find a model to forecast future broiler prices.