중국의 부상과 북한의 위기 : 중국 대한반도 정책의 딜레마

Abstract

The rise of China, from the reform era since 1978, came to be an important and salient factor not only in the alliance formation of East Asia, in Cross-Straits relations, and in North-South Korean relations, but also in the regional stability and development of East Asia. And the relationship between the North Korea and China also now places an emphasis on its practical interests in mutual relations, not on blind alliance as past. In the other hand, the unification of North-South Korea came in practical and strategic area in that the durable and structural dimension of the crisis of North Korea and the development of mutual cooperation between North and South Korea, with a changing divided system, brought some change in balance of power surrounding them. The persistent crisis of North Korea and “the shaking divided system” in Korean peninsula give her the risk and chance at the same time. Taking advantage of the crisis of North Korea, the China can maximize her influence on North Korea and take initiatives in Far East, but also can be situated, regardless of her preference, in an inevitable dilemma when the crisis of North Korea becomes risky one. The China already considered the implication and effect of the crisis of North Korea and the ramification and consequence of “the possible problems” in the process of unification between North and South Korea, and preemptively takes measure. In this regard, there is an urgent need to more strongly institutionalize strategic cooperation and mutual collaboration in order to solidify the relationship between the China and South Korea. Most of all, it can be started to converse, through an epistemic community approach suggested by constructivists, on creative issues and themes for the prosperous future. Especially, the author's emphasis is that the north-east region of China should be treated with a strategic manner.