기후변화의 영향평가를 위한 대순환모형과 지역기후모형의 비교 연구
？Comparative Study on General Circulation Model and Regional Climate Model for Impact Assessment of Climate Changes
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Abstract
Impacts of global warming have been identified in many areas including natural ecosystem.A good number of studies based on climate models forecasting future climate have beenconducted in many countries worldwide. Due to its global coverage, GCM, which is a mostfrequently used climate model, has limits to apply to Korea with such a narrower andchanges with a climate model fully reflecting characteristics of Korean climate. In this respect,this study was designed to compare and analyze the GCM and RCM in order to determine asuitable climate model for Korea.In this study, spatial scope was Korea for 10 years from 1981 to 1990. As a research method,current climate was estimated on the basis of the data obtained from observation at the GHCN.Future climate was forecast using 4 GCMs furnished by the IPCC among SRES A2 Scenario asfor the purpose of comparing data obtained from observation with GCM and RCM.As a result of this study, average annual temperature of Korea between 1981 and 1990 wasfound to be around 12.03˚C, with average daily rainfall being 2.72mm. Under the GCM,average annual temperature was between 10.22 and 16.86℃, with average daily rainfallCorresponding Author: Jae-Uk Kim, Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Seoul National University, San 56-1, Shillim-dong, Gwanak-gu, Seoul, 151-742, Korea Tel: 82-2-880-4885 E-mail: japa95@hanmail.net
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