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The Development of Anti-Access/Area Denial Capabilities for Achieving China’s National Military Strategy and its Strategic Achilles Heel

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China’s development of anti-access, area denial (A2AD) capabilities results from the PLA’s interlinking of strategic objectives, concepts, and resources. The strategic goal of A2AD capabilities refers to the PLA's two military concepts: Forward defense, and Army building. China's military strategists use these strategic concepts to achieve three national military objectives: Defend Sovereignty and Defeat Aggression, Modernize the Military and Build the Nation, and Protect the Party and Safeguard Stability. China's current military expenditures are clearly focused on developing A2AD capabilities. In contrast, efforts to build a blue-water navy, by organizing carrier battle groups and developing sea-based surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), have been relatively inadequate. The PLA’s commitment to denying adversaries’ access will prove unable to protect China’s national interests, and may confine the PLA to the first island chain. To secure China’s national interests, which increasingly depend on international trade and the supply of oil by sea, the PRC should concentrate on the possibility that its enemies will block PRC oil imports in a crisis, not the development of A2AD capabilities. Moreover, a new strategic approach by RAND’s National Defense Research Institute, which is based on land-based anti-ship missiles and broadened alliances with regional countries, demonstrates why the Chinese excessive adherence to A2AD would produce a dangerous outcome. Consequently, China should re-evaluate the feasibility of using A2AD capabilities to secure its expanded national interests.

Abstract

China’s development of anti-access, area denial (A2AD) capabilities results from the PLA’s interlinking of strategic objectives, concepts, and resources. The strategic goal of A2AD capabilities refers to the PLA's two military concepts: Forward defense, and Army building. China's military strategists use these strategic concepts to achieve three national military objectives: Defend Sovereignty and Defeat Aggression, Modernize the Military and Build the Nation, and Protect the Party and Safeguard Stability. China's current military expenditures are clearly focused on developing A2AD capabilities. In contrast, efforts to build a blue-water navy, by organizing carrier battle groups and developing sea-based surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), have been relatively inadequate. The PLA’s commitment to denying adversaries’ access will prove unable to protect China’s national interests, and may confine the PLA to the first island chain. To secure China’s national interests, which increasingly depend on international trade and the supply of oil by sea, the PRC should concentrate on the possibility that its enemies will block PRC oil imports in a crisis, not the development of A2AD capabilities. Moreover, a new strategic approach by RAND’s National Defense Research Institute, which is based on land-based anti-ship missiles and broadened alliances with regional countries, demonstrates why the Chinese excessive adherence to A2AD would produce a dangerous outcome. Consequently, China should re-evaluate the feasibility of using A2AD capabilities to secure its expanded national interests.

참고문헌 (23)

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