Understanding the Chinese Aircraft Carrier Development Saga: A Technological and Geostrategic Analysis
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The Chinese aircraft carrier program has been developing for more than two decades and still has no combat capability. Analysts often argue that this lengthy process is due to the formidable obstacles in developing carriers, and that China is developing carriers for real combat requirements as a high priority but as yet just cannot realize the goal. There are three supposed combat missions calling for carriers. First, after the Chinese economic reform, China’s foreign trade became crucial and the oil consumption surged. Both requires sea lines of communication (SLOC) which are largely unprotected. Second, China also has several maritime territorial disputes with its neighbors. Finally, China wants to build a robust nuclear deterrence capability. This paper puts forward an alternative perspective. Carriers are not excessively challenging, and China had already acquired all the necessary elements in the late 1990s. The real reason of this lengthy development is the lack of urgency and necessity. Carriers are actually of little use for China in real combat. China develops carriers for prestige, and this is a low priority under the overall Chinese strategy of “Peaceful Development.”
Abstract
The Chinese aircraft carrier program has been developing for more than two decades and still has no combat capability. Analysts often argue that this lengthy process is due to the formidable obstacles in developing carriers, and that China is developing carriers for real combat requirements as a high priority but as yet just cannot realize the goal. There are three supposed combat missions calling for carriers. First, after the Chinese economic reform, China’s foreign trade became crucial and the oil consumption surged. Both requires sea lines of communication (SLOC) which are largely unprotected. Second, China also has several maritime territorial disputes with its neighbors. Finally, China wants to build a robust nuclear deterrence capability. This paper puts forward an alternative perspective. Carriers are not excessively challenging, and China had already acquired all the necessary elements in the late 1990s. The real reason of this lengthy development is the lack of urgency and necessity. Carriers are actually of little use for China in real combat. China develops carriers for prestige, and this is a low priority under the overall Chinese strategy of “Peaceful Development.”
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