North Korean Military Capability and its Nuclear Program: Assessment and Prediction
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This Paper sets out to assess the capabilities of the North Korean military and to posit some predictions as to the future of its militarism. To this end, the theoretical approach subscribed to by the author will be outlined first in order to examine why North Korea adheres to a policy of increasing its military capability. Some have contended that if North Korea abandons its militarism its chances of survival will be greater and it will certainly be able to become a normal state in the international community. North Korea is highly unlikely, however, to change its strategy for survival. The reasons for this are explored by addressing four factors: diplomatic, political, economic and ideological. Thereafter, the North Korean military capability will be reviewed by splitting into three parts: conventional, asymmetric (the focus here being on missiles and special forces) and the nuclear program. The final section lays out the implications of this data in terms of predicting North Korea’s future use of its military capability.
Abstract
This Paper sets out to assess the capabilities of the North Korean military and to posit some predictions as to the future of its militarism. To this end, the theoretical approach subscribed to by the author will be outlined first in order to examine why North Korea adheres to a policy of increasing its military capability. Some have contended that if North Korea abandons its militarism its chances of survival will be greater and it will certainly be able to become a normal state in the international community. North Korea is highly unlikely, however, to change its strategy for survival. The reasons for this are explored by addressing four factors: diplomatic, political, economic and ideological. Thereafter, the North Korean military capability will be reviewed by splitting into three parts: conventional, asymmetric (the focus here being on missiles and special forces) and the nuclear program. The final section lays out the implications of this data in terms of predicting North Korea’s future use of its military capability.
참고문헌 (29)
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