대북화해협력정책과 북한의 변화에 대한 실증적 분석

Abstract

This study is an empirical approach for measuring North Korea’s changes after the inter- Korean summit in June 2000. North Korea’s changes are often referred as the most agreeable criteria for determining validity of the Sunshine policy since most debates over the Sunshine policy are centered on whether the policy really brought changes on the part of North Korea. After theoretical discussions on reciprocity and the Sunshine policy, this study employs two different methodology, content analysis and event data analysis. For content analysis, we coded reports of Chosun Central News Agency and while for event data analysis, coding event regarding inter- Korean relations by applying COPDAB codification. Two approaches yield an observation that the Sunshine policy has accompanied North Korea’s feasible changes, in spite of two armed conflicts on the western sea. As for the reason why the Sunshine policy has become the target of domestic criticisms, the study illustrates inherent limitation embedded in neoliberal theoretical background of the policy.