군비통제와 한반도 평화체제 수립: 양자 간 선순환 관계를 위한 제언

Abstract

The cold war structure and armistice regime are continuing for more than five decades on the Korean Peninsula. To disconnect the vicious circle between arms race and the cold war structure, the arms control process should begin now. In Europe, the cold war structure and arms race had been as tense as on the Korean Peninsula. However, European countries led by the United States and the former Soviet Union succeeded in the confidence building process through participating in the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe actively, whereas NATO and WTO engaged the mutually balanced force reduction talks to be overtaken by the CFE process later for a bigger success. On the Korean Peninsula, it is necessary to establish a trilateral arms control negotiation channel in which South Korea, North Korea, and the United States can discuss military issues on a regular basis. South Korea should organize her arms control agency directly under the President, Arms Control bureau in the Foreign Ministry, and Arms Control Verification Bureau in the Defense Ministry. Through mutual cooperation among three agencies, the South Korean government should design arms control strategy to promote and succeed in the arms control process with North Korea. Since the Korean arms control process entails North Korea and the ROK-US alliance to adapt to new situations, South Korea and the United States need to launch joint study team and devise joint arms control strategy. On negotiating with Pyongyang, Seoul should take a flexible strategy and expand list of arms control measures by offering economic aids to Pyongyang on condition that North Korea relocate its forward deployed military bases to the rear area. South Korea also needs to support the epistemic community of arms control within South Korea as a way to promote peninsula-specific and regional arms control in Northeast Asia