패권전환기 미국의 동맹우선주의와 한반도 평화지도력: 한반도문제의 다자 균형과 편승의 딜레마
The New Challenge for the Strategy of U.S Alliance and Changing the Peace Leadership in Korean Security Problem.
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이 연구는 미국이 동맹을 우위에 내세우는 전략으로 전환된 배경을 미국패권의 확장의 결과라기보다 미국패권의 쇠퇴를 예방하기 위한 전통적 동맹의 응집결과에 주목한다. 탈냉전 이후 미국패권동맹은 다자주의에 영향을 받았다. 파트너 국가의 협조를 이끌 인센티브와 제휴의 획득이 좌절될 때 동맹퇴조현상도 나타났다. 상호의존의 증대와 국익추구는 동맹우선주의를 약화시킨 요소가 되었고, 미국은 자국이익추구와 다자전략을 병행하지만 첨예한 쟁점은 동맹우위전략으로 봉합하는 행태를 보여왔다. 북핵문제의 장기화 국면에서 미국은 외부위협에 따른 결속을 이끌 중력관리에 빈번히 실패했고, 전폭적인 동맹활동에 대한 위임현상도 대체되었다. 한반도는 독자적으로 한미관계 재조정과 남북관계 정상화에 대한 지향이 증대되었다. 국익충돌은 한미공조와 다자균형이 엇박자를 내는 현상을 초래했고, 동맹공조의 위기도 가져왔다. 이런 구조에서 평화이행을 위한 전략적 제휴는 복합적이고 다층적 협력구조를 보이게 되었다. 결론적으로 동맹중심의 한반도 평화구상이나 평화지도력이 한계를 노출함에 따라, 다자적 전략제휴를 통해 다층적 협력을 형성, 진전, 활성화시키는 가운데 북한변화를 이끌어내는 능동적인 접근이 요구되고 있다.
Abstract
This study dealt on the challenge and power shift for peace leadership and alliance of ROK-U.S. After ten years ago, The traditional paradigm in Korea as peace and security coalition model have changed and fronted on the power challenges not only domestic factors U.S and ROK but also international factors as hard power and soft power change from relation neighboring countries. Especially south Korea have influenced from the enlargement of citizen power through the democratization and regime change. Since 1998, south Korea government tried to role shift that conflict and security structure as international democratic alliance partner as well as the moderator to peace making and cooperative regime. The critical dilemma is related incomplete information and lower trust among NK, SK, U.S. the incomplete security coalition model have impacted many confusion and conflict. especially the null and validity data is not clearly discriminated. and security index of accountability to NK change yet depend on the highly uncertainty. conclusionly in this paper is that the condition of U.S. the hegemonic power may be infronted of declining. The challange of global hegemony is very serious in U.S.A and environment of Korean Peace making. Current transitional condition to Korean peninsula peace regime is not immature. However we'll be get the opportunity the making peace Korean regime although the following situation which the decline of hegemonic power in U.S. and Multilateral security system in North East Asia. We try to persuade international society through the basic and logical method Korea peninsula Peace is do good peace in all of the world.
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