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수산비축 및 수매지원 사업이 수산물 가격에 미치는 영향

The Effects of the Government Reserve Program and the Purchase Loan Program on the Prices of Fisheries Products

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초록

This paper evaluates two related government programs that share the common goal of stabilizing consumer prices of marine products and of supporting producer prices. The reserve program mandates the government to purchase and release pre-selected species on its account while the purchase loan program provides preferential loans to private warehouse owners or Fisheries Co-ops. Using the monthly record of purchases and releases by the programs, we estimate a reduced-form regression model of consumer and producer prices. The result shows that the programs have differential effects on prices. The reserve program is found to significantly decrease consumer prices but not to raise producer prices. On the other hand, the loan program is more effective in supporting producer prices but not in stabilizing consumer prices. The paper also discusses policy implications flowing from the analysis.

Abstract

This paper evaluates two related government programs that share the common goal of stabilizing consumer prices of marine products and of supporting producer prices. The reserve program mandates the government to purchase and release pre-selected species on its account while the purchase loan program provides preferential loans to private warehouse owners or Fisheries Co-ops. Using the monthly record of purchases and releases by the programs, we estimate a reduced-form regression model of consumer and producer prices. The result shows that the programs have differential effects on prices. The reserve program is found to significantly decrease consumer prices but not to raise producer prices. On the other hand, the loan program is more effective in supporting producer prices but not in stabilizing consumer prices. The paper also discusses policy implications flowing from the analysis.

참고문헌 (10)

  1. 강태훈, "농안기금 비축사업의 가격안정화효과 - 고추,마늘,양파를 중심으로 -", 농업경영.정책연구, 33(4), pp.931~952 (2006), 한국농업정책학회
  2. 김윤식, "정부의 농산물 수매 행태가 생산에 미치는 영향 : 쌀을 중심으로", 농업경제연구, 48(4), pp.107~126 (2007), 한국농업경제학회
  3. 노재선, "쌀 수매 및 방출 제도의 정책 효과 분석", 농업경영.정책연구, 33(1), pp.89~104 (2006), 한국농업정책학회
  4. 수산물 수매비축 사업에 대한 일고찰, "조용훈", 수협조사월보, ~ (2001)
  5. 최세현, "농안기금 비축 사업의 경제적 효과 분석", 농업경제연구, 35(1), pp.1115~1132 (2004)
  6. 정부비축 사업 중장기 방향 연구 용역, "홍현표", 한국해양수산개발원, ~ (2006)
  7. Kooten, G. C., "Commodity Price Stabilization: The Price Uncertainty Case", Canadian Journal of Economics, 18(2), pp.426~434 (1995)
  8. Massell, B. F., "Price Stabilization and Welfare", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 83, pp.284~298 (1969)
  9. Oi, W. Y., "The Desirability of Price Instability under Perfect Competition", Econometrica, 29(1), pp.58~64 (1961)
  10. Waugh, F. V., "Does the Consumer Benefit from Price Instability", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 59(2), pp.602~614 (1994)

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