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공급망 다변화와 TSR의 역할: 기술적 및 정책적 개선요인의 통합적 분석

Supply Chain Diversification and the Role of TSR: An Integrated Analysis of Technological and Policy Improvement Factors

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주제분류과학기술학

초록

최근 해상운송과 항공운송의 불안정성이 대두되며 운임이 급등하는 사건이 발생하였다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해 철도운송, 특히 한국과 러시아 교역에서 TSR(Trans-Siberian Railway)의 사용이 제안되고 있다. 기존 연구에서는 TSR의 개선 요인을 언급하거나 화물 시간가치를 고려한 TSR 물류비 산출 및 해운 물류비와의 비교 사례를 제시했으나, 세계적인 추세인 지속가능발전목표를 고려한 연간 탄소세를 비교한 사례는 부족했다. 본 연구는 TSR에 대한 두 개의 기술적 개선 요인과 세 개의 정책적 개선 요인으로 단축될 TSR 리드타임을 구했다. 이를 화물 시간가치로 산출하여 연간 물류비에 반영하였다. 국제해사기구가 해운에 부과할 수 있는 탄소세의 최댓값과 최솟값으로 TSR과 해운의 연간 탄소세를 계산함으로써, TSR이 국제물류에서 공급망 다변화의 역할을 할 수 있음을 재조명하였다.

Abstract

Recent instability in maritime and aviation logistics has precipitated a sharp increase in freight rates, prompting the exploration of alternative trade routes. Among these, the Trans-Siberian Railway (TSR) has emerged as a viable option for trade between Korea and Russia. While previous studies have highlighted factors for enhancing the TSR and compared its logistics costs—considering the value of freight time—with maritime logistics, a gap exists in evaluating the impact of annual carbon taxes, aligning with the global push towards sustainable development goals. Our study identifies technical and policy factors to shorten TSR lead times. These factors were integrated into our analysis, reflecting on the annual logistics cost, inclusive of the value of freight time. Furthermore, by estimating the potential yearly carbon tax levied by the International Maritime Organization on maritime transportation, our research underscores the TSR's role in diversifying the supply chain within international logistics.

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