“一带一路”与“新北方政策”对接的背景下铁路网络连接的影响分析
Impact Analysis of Railway Network Connection in the Context of “One Belt, One Road” and “New Northern Policy”
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目前由于新冠疫情的大流行，全世界各国的经济都受到了很大的冲击，急需恢复经济的发展。而在欧亚大陆联系越来越紧密的趋势下，中国的一带一路倡议和韩国的新北方政策的对接就有了其必然性。在这样的背景下，其重要的就是铁路网络的连接。本文的研究目的就是分析韩半岛终端铁路（TKR）与中国的中欧班列连接，融入欧亚大陆铁路网会产生的影响。研究结果表明，铁路货运量与GDP是互动的正相关关系，而韩国有望成为东亚物流中心，并且提升自身在世界中心的地位和影响力。东北亚的经济发展对中国东北三省的经济复苏也有着积极的作用。
Abstract
The global economy has been hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic, and countries around the world urgently need to restore economic growth. As countries in Eurasia become more and more closely connected, it is inevitable for China's Belt and Road Initiative and South Korea's new Northern policy to connect. In this context, what matters is the connection of the railway network. The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of the integration of the Korean Terminal Railway (TKR) into the Eurasian railway network by connecting the Korean Terminal Railway (TKR) with China's China-Europe freight trains. The results show that there is an interactive positive correlation between railway freight volume and GDP, and South Korea is expected to become the logistics center of East Asia and improve its status and influence in the world center. Within the Korean peninsula, the railway connection can draw North Korea into a larger multilateral agreement system, and South Korea can use external forces within the system to push North Korea to seek more economic cooperation and actively promote the reunification process. The economic development of Northeast Asia also plays a positive role in the economic recovery of the three provinces in northeast China.
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