Simon의 합리적 선택 행위모형으로 본 6.25전쟁에 관한 미국의 군사전략 연구

Abstract

US military strategy decisions also have an huge impact on South Korea, which faces North Korea as much as any other country in the world. There are also views that attribute the causes of the Korean War in the past to the U.S. decision to withdraw from the Korean Peninsula and the Acheson Line Declaration. The US military strategy, which has a lot of influence on the world still now, must have been decided through many analyses, and studied many alternatives to achieve the goal of protecting its territory, people, and interests. However, if we listen only to criticisms of the current military strategy as well as the US military strategy on the Korean Peninsula, it is easy to dismiss the whole strategic planning process as if the wrong strategy was established, causing chaos and war. In the process of establishing a military strategy, it is important to evaluate the strategy based on the result. But how can we establish a good strategy to achieve the strategic goal in the process of not knowing the future result? Existing studies on US military strategy of the Korean Peninsula, especially research related to the Korean War, are mostly diplomatic and political studies. There are few studies through model analysis. Therefore, this study tried to analyze the US military strategy establishment process on the Korean Peninsula by Simon's rational choice behavior model. In addition, in order to overcome the limitations such as non-disclosure of data and relatively small research achievements, which are characteristic of research in the military field, the Korean War was selected as a target study which has relatively large amount of research data. As a result of the study, it explains why the United States withdrew US troops from Korea and why US chose the opposite action to deploying ground troops which is totally different from what it had prepared and after the outbreak of the Korean War, by Simon's rational choice behavior model.