ASEAN+3의 금융 및 경제협력과 제도의 질: 평가와 전망
Financial and Economic Cooperation in ASEAN+3 and Institutional Quality: Evaluation and Prospect
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본 논문은 1998년에 출범한 ASEAN+3(APT) 체제의 금융 및 경제협력 성과를 평가하고 미래의 APT 거버넌스 체제와 관련된 문제를 분석했다. 관련 자료를 살펴보면 APT 체제가 지역안전망으로서 역할을 일부 담당했지만 금융 및 경제협력 성과는 미진했다고 평가된다. APT 체제가 금융 및 경제협력을 뛰어 넘어 지역의 경제 및 통화통합과 더 나아가 아시아 연합(Asian Union)을 목표로 하는 경우, 가장 큰 장애요인은 회원국들 사이의 정치, 경제, 사회 및 문화의 이질성이 매우 크다는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 APT 회원국들의 자료를 이용하여 제도의 질과 거시경제변수들의 성과, 정책체제 및 경제발전의 정도가 매우 밀접한 관계가 있음을 보여주고, 아시안 연합을 목표로 한다면 각 회원국들의 제도의 질을 높이고 편차를 줄이는 것이 매우 중요하다는 것을 강조했다.
Abstract
This paper evaluates financial and economic cooperation in ASEAN+3(APT) established in 1998 and analyses issues relevant to the future governance system of APT. APT has played a role as a regional safety net to some extent, but with little progress in financial and economic cooperation among APT member countries. APT needs to set a goal for achieving economic and monetary integration in the region and forming Asian Union. One critical obstacle to this goal is that there are economic, political, social and cultural differences among member countries. Data show that institutional quality is highly correlated with macroeconomic performance, policy setups and economic development in APT member countries. Institutional quality of each country needs to be upgraded and its dissimilarities among countries should be narrowed down to launch Asian Union.
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