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Defending an Emerging Economy from Global Financial Turbulences

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The purpose of this article is to go back to basics of the international balance of payments to take a closer look at the roles of international reserves and related factors in the exchange rate managements of an emerging economy. It is a timely attempt because; (1) international reserves are playing a crisis resolution role at least in the practical terms. (2) liquidity changes from external factors are particularly important since the US quantitative easing during the Great Recession. (3) central banks’ balance sheets have expanded in emerging economies since the post-Asian Crisis period. We extend the model from Turnovsky(1985) to capture the international monetary aspects of emerging economies. Emerging economies with international reserves and their own sterilization measures are found to be able to partially offset external factors.

Abstract

The purpose of this article is to go back to basics of the international balance of payments to take a closer look at the roles of international reserves and related factors in the exchange rate managements of an emerging economy. It is a timely attempt because; (1) international reserves are playing a crisis resolution role at least in the practical terms. (2) liquidity changes from external factors are particularly important since the US quantitative easing during the Great Recession. (3) central banks’ balance sheets have expanded in emerging economies since the post-Asian Crisis period. We extend the model from Turnovsky(1985) to capture the international monetary aspects of emerging economies. Emerging economies with international reserves and their own sterilization measures are found to be able to partially offset external factors.

참고문헌 (7)

  1. Bruno, Valentina, "Assessing Macro prudential Policies: Case of South Korea", Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 116(1), pp.128~157 (2014)
  2. Exchange Rate Risk and the Macroeconomics of Exchange Rare Determination, "Dornbusch, R.", National Bureau of Economic Research, ~, pp.Working Paper No. 493 (1980)
  3. Filardo, Andrew, "The Expansion of Central Bank Balance Sheets in Emerging Asia: What are the Risks?", BIS quarterly review (2011)
  4. Krugman, Paul, "A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises", Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 11(3), pp.311~325 (1979)
  5. Glick, Reuven, "Foreign Reserve and Money Dynamics with Asset Portfolio Adjustment: International Evidence", Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 10, pp.229~247 (2000)
  6. Kletzer, Kenneth, "Sterilization Costs and Exchange Rate Targeting", Journal of International Money and Finance, 23, pp.897~915 (2004)
  7. Turnovsky, Stephen J., "Domestic and Foreign Disturbances in an Optimizing Model of Exchange-Rate Determination", Journal of International Money and Finance, 1, pp.151~171 (1985)

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