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Why Are There Large Foreign Exchange Reserves? The Case of South Korea

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In the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis, South Korea, which had been a very successful economy, was forced to raise interest rates and cut government spending by the IMF. These measures caused great economic distress. Because Asian countries were not well represented in the IMF’s governance structure, Korea could not effectively appeal the decision. We argue that what Korea and neighboring countries learned from this experience was that they had to accumulate their own reserves to self-insure against future crises. This self-insurance in East Asia has allowed Korea to navigate the current crisis well. However, the trillions of dollars of foreign exchange reserves accumulated in Asia have contributed to the ‘global imbalances’ that have played an important role in causing the current crisis. We suggest three possible solutions: reform of IMF governance,increased liquidity through regional risk sharing and foreign exchange swaps, and the Chinese RMB as a reserve currency.

Abstract

In the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis, South Korea, which had been a very successful economy, was forced to raise interest rates and cut government spending by the IMF. These measures caused great economic distress. Because Asian countries were not well represented in the IMF’s governance structure, Korea could not effectively appeal the decision. We argue that what Korea and neighboring countries learned from this experience was that they had to accumulate their own reserves to self-insure against future crises. This self-insurance in East Asia has allowed Korea to navigate the current crisis well. However, the trillions of dollars of foreign exchange reserves accumulated in Asia have contributed to the ‘global imbalances’ that have played an important role in causing the current crisis. We suggest three possible solutions: reform of IMF governance,increased liquidity through regional risk sharing and foreign exchange swaps, and the Chinese RMB as a reserve currency.

참고문헌 (14)

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  4. Bernanke, B., "The Global Saving Glut and the U.S. Current Account Deficit" (2005), Sandridge Lecture
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  6. An Essay on the Revived Bretton Woods System, "Dooley, M. P.", ~, pp.NBER Working Paper 9971 (2003)
  7. Jeanne, O., "The Optimal Level of International Reserves for Emerging Market Countries: Formulas and Applications" (2006), IMF Research Department
  8. International Reserves in Emerging Market Countries: Too Much of a Good Thing, "Jeanne O.", 1~55 (2007)
  9. Beyond the IMF, "Kapur, D.", ~, pp.G‐24 Discussion Paper 43 (2007)
  10. The Social Cost of Foreign Exchange Reserves, "Rodrik, D.", NBER, ~, pp.NBER Working Paper 11952 (2006)
  11. Leverage, Securitization and Global Imbalance, "Shin, H.", Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research, 2~33, pp.Occasional Paper 5 (2009)
  12. Summers, L. H., "Reflections on Global Account Imbalances and Emerging Markets Reserve Accumulations, L. K. Jha Memorial Lecture" (2006), Reserve Bank of India
  13. Truman, E. M., "Reforming the IMF for the 21st Century" (2006), Institute for International Economics
  14. Wolf, M., "Fixing Global Finance" (2009), The Johns Hopkins University Press

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