중국공산당 제5세대 지도부의 등장과 양안관계

Abstract

The establishment of the fifth generation leadership of CPC leaded by Xi Jinping has more significance than a mere shift of generations. It will promote the diverse changes in China’s domestic and foreign policies whose essential part is the Cross-Strait Relations. It has been some fluctuating due to the internal changes of the two countries especially after the transition of leadership. In short, the difference in not only their political systems and ideologies but also the policies and visions, the leaders of these two countries have,has decisive effect on the change of the Cross-Strait Relations. Therefore,analysis for the potential of change in the Cross-Strait relations after leadership transition in China has a huge significance. Moreover, the perceptions of 5th generation leadership must be different from those of the former one. Xi Jinping used to serve for a long time as the mayor of Xiamen, the secretary of Fujian and Zhejiang close to Taiwan. Thus, he understands the reality of the Cross-Strait Relations. This paper will focus on the changes in the Cross-Strait Relations after the 18th CPC Congress and the establishment of the 5th generation leadership. Firstly, this paper will analyze the modifications in the Cross-Strait Relations from Hu Jintao in 2002 to Xi Jinping in 2012. Secondly, this paper will prospect the possibility of changes in Cross-Strait Relations after Xi Jinping leadership comes to power. Especially, it will focus on possible changes in Xi Jinping’s Taiwan policies, Ma Ying-jeou's pro-china policy line, Sino-American relations and Taiwan policy of the second term Obama administration.