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The ROK-US Alliance and North Korea’s Nuclear Crisis

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Kim Jung Un's North Korea has declared itself as a nuclear power and continues to develop nuclear programs. The fourth nuclear test on January 6, 2016, and the subsequent missile test firing on February 7, 2017 has brought about a global response resulting in the toughest UN resolution 2270 to impose sanctions on North Korea. South Korea's most impending security interest is to defend itself against North Korea's aggression. The Park Geun Hye government has pursued the so-called the Trustpolitik, which made room for engaging with North Korea when progress is made in the measures of confidence building. However, since the fourth nuclear test, the South Korean government has been focused upon enhancing deterrence and strengthening sanctions, multilaterally and bilaterally. South Korea should be prepared to cope with: 1) all-out nuclear attack from North Korea; 2) asymmetric escalation based on nuclear capability; 3) increased propensity for conventional provocation stemming from stability-instability paradox; and 4) other asymmetricattacks using various terrorist measures.

Abstract

Kim Jung Un's North Korea has declared itself as a nuclear power and continues to develop nuclear programs. The fourth nuclear test on January 6, 2016, and the subsequent missile test firing on February 7, 2017 has brought about a global response resulting in the toughest UN resolution 2270 to impose sanctions on North Korea. South Korea's most impending security interest is to defend itself against North Korea's aggression. The Park Geun Hye government has pursued the so-called the Trustpolitik, which made room for engaging with North Korea when progress is made in the measures of confidence building. However, since the fourth nuclear test, the South Korean government has been focused upon enhancing deterrence and strengthening sanctions, multilaterally and bilaterally. South Korea should be prepared to cope with: 1) all-out nuclear attack from North Korea; 2) asymmetric escalation based on nuclear capability; 3) increased propensity for conventional provocation stemming from stability-instability paradox; and 4) other asymmetricattacks using various terrorist measures.

참고문헌 (11)

  1. Cha, Victor, "The U.S. Response to North Korea’s Nuclear Provocations", North Korea Testimony to HFAC Subcommittee on Asia, ~ (2016)
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  3. Assessing the Asia-Pacific Rebalance, "Green, Michael J", Center for Strategic and International Studies, ~ (2015)
  4. Jackson, Van, "The South China Sea Needs South Korea: Why Seoul Can no Longer Stay on the Sidelines of Maritime Disputes in the South China Sea", Diplomat, ~ (2015)
  5. Jackson, Van, "Alliance Military Strategy in the Shadow of North Korea’s Nuclear Futures", US-Korea Institute at SAIS, ~ (2015)
  6. Kirby, John, "Daily Press Briefing", ~ (2016)
  7. Cheng-Chwee Kuik, "How Do Weaker States Hedge? Unpacking ASEAN states’ alignment behavior towards China", Journal of Contemporary China, 25(100), pp.500~514 (2016), Informa UK Limited[DOI]
  8. Masters, Jonathan, "What Are Economic Sanctions?", CFR Backgrounders, ~ (2015)
  9. Project Atom: A Competitive Strategies Approach to Defining U.S. Nuclear Strategy and Posture for 2025-2050, "Murdock, Clark", CSIS International Security Program, ~ (2015)
  10. Snyder, Scott, "U.S. Rebalancing Strategy and South Korea’s Middle Power Diplomacy", East Asia Institute, ~ (2015)
  11. The U.S. State Department, "Joint Fact Sheet: The United States-Republic of Korea Alliance: Shared Values", New Frontiers, ~ (2015)

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