How Is the Distrust Trap Pervasive in East Asia?: Focusing on Incomplete Sovereignty with a Prospect Theory
0
조회
0
다운로드
2
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This paper investigates Japan’s two foreign policies toward South Korea and the People’s Republic of China after the 2000s based on prospect theory. The Japanese government intended those decisions as loss-averse behavior to overcome incomplete sovereignty by resolving the comfort women issue and the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands’ territorial dispute. However, the distrust trap made South Korea and China recognize Japan’s intention as risk-acceptant. This paper posits that a distrust trap plays a significant role as a heuristic that makes South Korea and China reluctant to cooperate with Japan. The distrust trap indicates the extension of a cognitive gap between states when the challenging behavior of one state provokes distrust of others and gives a signal of threat regardless of its intention or approach. The twenty-first century is a remarkable period because security issues toward Japan are making gradual progress of cooperation of East Asia superficial. It relates to the problem of trust-building. This paper uses transnational survey data to show the distrust trap between South Korea, China, and Japan.
Abstract
This paper investigates Japan’s two foreign policies toward South Korea and the People’s Republic of China after the 2000s based on prospect theory. The Japanese government intended those decisions as loss-averse behavior to overcome incomplete sovereignty by resolving the comfort women issue and the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands’ territorial dispute. However, the distrust trap made South Korea and China recognize Japan’s intention as risk-acceptant. This paper posits that a distrust trap plays a significant role as a heuristic that makes South Korea and China reluctant to cooperate with Japan. The distrust trap indicates the extension of a cognitive gap between states when the challenging behavior of one state provokes distrust of others and gives a signal of threat regardless of its intention or approach. The twenty-first century is a remarkable period because security issues toward Japan are making gradual progress of cooperation of East Asia superficial. It relates to the problem of trust-building. This paper uses transnational survey data to show the distrust trap between South Korea, China, and Japan.
참고문헌 (62)
- Allison, Graham T., "Destined for War" (2017), Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
- Berejikian, Jeffrey D, "Model Building with Prospect Theory: A Cognitive Approach to International Relations", Political Psychology, 23(4) (2002)
- Brewer, Paul R, "International Trust and Public Opinion about World Affairs", American Journal of Political Science, 48(1) (2004)
- "Survey on Diplomacy" (2018)[URL]
- 조윤수, "일본군‘위안부’ 문제와 한일관계 : 1990년대 한국과 일본의 대응을 중심으로", 한국정치외교사논총, 36(1), pp.71~98 (2014), 한국정치외교사학회[DOI]
- 최은봉, "중국의 대 일본 배상청구 포기의 양면성 - ‘타이완 문제’의 타결과 중일 경제협력의 확장 -", 담론201, 13(2), pp.151~176 (2010), 한국사회역사학회[DOI]
- Chun, Chaesung, "World Politics: Complexity of World Politics" (2017), Institute of International Studies of Seoul National University
- 도시환, "일본군‘위안부’ 문제의 현황과 국제인권법적 재조명", 국제법학회논총, 53(3), pp.41~68 (2008), 대한국제법학회
- Doh, Seehwan, "Women Policy in East Asia – Focusing on ‘Comfort Women’ Policy of Japanese Government", The Justice, 158(2) (2017)
- "The 7th Japan-China Joint Opinion Survey" (2011)[URL]
- "The 8th Japan-China Joint Opinion Survey" (2012)[URL]
- "The 1st Japan-South Korea Joint Opinion Poll" (2013)[URL]
- "The 9th Japan-China Joint Opinion Survey" (2013)[URL]
- "The 10th Japan-China Joint Opinion Survey" (2014)[URL]
- "The 3rd Japan-South Korea Joint Opinion Poll" (2015)[URL]
- "The 11th Japan-China Joint Opinion Survey" (2015)[URL]
- "The 4th Japan-South Korea Joint Opinion Poll" (2016)[URL]
- "The 12th Japan-China Joint Opinion Survey" (2016)[URL]
- "The 5th Japan-South Korea Joint Opinion Poll" (2017)[URL]
- "The 13th Japan-China Joint Opinion Survey" (2017)[URL]
- "The 6th Japan-South Korea Joint Opinion Poll" (2018)[URL]
- "The 14th Japan-China Joint Opinion Survey" (2018)[URL]
- Huiyun, Feng, "Prospect Theory, Operational Code Analysis, and Risk-Taking Behavior: A New Model of China’s Crisis Behavior", Contemporary Politics, 24(2) (2018)
- 황지환, "전망이론의 현실주의적 이해: 현상유지경향과 상대적 손실의 국제정치이론", 국제정치논총, 47(3), pp.7~25 (2007), 한국국제정치학회
- Jackson, Robert, "Sovereignty: The Evolution of an Idea" (2007), Polity Press
- "Trends in Chinese Government and Other Vessels in the Waters Surrounding the Senkaku Islands, and Japan’s Response" (2019)[URL]
- Jervis, Robert, "The Implications of Prospect Theory for Human Nature and Values", Political Psychology, 25(2) (2004)
- Kahneman, Daniel, "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk", Econometric, 47(2) (1979)
- Kim, Sungchul, "Conflict and Cooperation in Sino-Japanese Relations: The Linkage between Security and Economy", Sejong Policy Studies (2016)
- Kissinger, Henry Alfred, "World Order" (2014), Penguin Press
- Krasner, Stephen D., "Sovereignty: Organized Hypocrisy" (1999), Princeton University Press
- Krasner, Stephen D., "Problematic Sovereignty: Contested Rules and Political Possibilities" (2001), Columbia University Press
- Rolfe, Jim, "The Asia-Pacific: A Region in Transition", Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies
- Kupchan, Charles A., "How Enemies Become Friends" (2010), Princeton University Press
- Lee, Minju, "Incomplete State Sovereignty and Strategic Distrust:Comparing South Korean-Japanese Relations to Sino-Japanese Relations", Master, pp.2000
- Levy, Jack S, "An Introduction to Prospect Theory", Political Psychology, 13(2) (1992)
- Levy, Jack S, "Applications of Prospect Theory to Political Science", Synthese, 135 (2003)
- McGregor, Richard, "Asia’s Reckoning: China, Japan, and the Fate of U.S" (2017), Power on the Pacific Century
- "Joint Statement on the Tenth Anniversary of Trilateral Cooperation among the People’s Republic of China, Japan and the Republic of Korea" (2009)[URL]
- "Joint Statement between the Government of Japan and the Government of the People’s Republic of China on Comprehensive Promotion of A ‘Mutually Beneficial Relationship’ Based on Common Strategic Interests" (2008)[URL]
- Organski, A. F. K., "World Politics" (1958), Alfred A. Knopf
- Owen, John M, "How Liberalism Produces Democratic Peace", International Security, 19(2) (1994)
- Park, Cheolhee, "Cooperation Coupled with Conflicts: Korea–Japan Relations in the Post-Cold War Era", Asia-Pacific Review, 15(2) (2008)
- Park, Ihnhwi, "Sovereignty and Global Security: Globalization and Conceptual Reconstitution of Sovereignty and Security", Korean Political Science Review, 35(3) (2001)
- 박상현, "전망이론의 관점에서 본 남중국해 영토협상: 손실영역(loss frame)에서 중국의 선택을 중심으로", 세계지역연구논총, 25(3), pp.253~270 (2007), 한국세계지역학회
- Pugliese, Giulio, "Sino-Japanese Power Politics:Might, Money, Minds" (2017), Palgrave Macmillan
- Ross, Robert S., "China’s Ascent: Power, Security, and the Future of International Politics" (2008), Cornell University Press
- Rozman, Gilbert, "South Korea and Sino-Japanese Rivalry: A Middle Power’s Options Within the East Asian Core Triangle", Pacific Review, 20(2) (2007)
- Shambaugh, David, "China’s Security Policy in the Post-Cold War Era", Survival, 34(2) (2008)
- 신기영, "글로벌 시각에서 본 일본군 ‘위안부’ 문제: 한일관계의 양자적 틀을 넘어서", 일본비평, (15), pp.282~309 (2016), 일본연구소
- Shirk, Susan L., "China: Fragile Superpower" (2007), Oxford University Press
- 손열, "위안부 합의의 국제정치: 정체성-안보-경제 넥서스와 박근혜 정부의 대일외교", 국제정치논총, 58(2), pp.145~177 (2018), 한국국제정치학회
- Sutter, Robert G., "Chinese Foreign Relations: Power and Policy since the Cold War" (2012), Rowman and Littlefield Publishers
- "A China-Japan Breakthrough: A Primer on Their 4 Point Consensus" (2014)[URL]
- "Full Text: Japan-South Korea Statement on 'Comfort Women'" (2015)[URL]
- Trilateral Cooperation Secretariat, "Surveys of Trilateral Cooperation Key Findings", ~ (2018)
- "Daily Press Briefing" (2015)[URL]
- Waltz, Kenneth, "Theory of International Politics" (1979), Addison Wesley
- Yahuda, Michael, "Sino-Japanese Relations After the Cold War: Two Tigers Sharing a Mountain" (2014), Routledge
- ": ① Foreign Policy/Security/Military" (2017)[URL]
- Building Trust between China and Japan: Lessons Learned from Bilateral Interactions in the East China Sea, "Zhang, Tuosheng", SIPRI Policy, ~, pp.SIPRI Policy Brief. 2015-02 (2015)