Asian Security Architecture in the Establishment of the U.S.-China Strategic Competition in the 21st Century
0
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
초록
Recognizing that the broader structure of East Asia’s regional order is going to change, this paper assumes that there are three major factors to drive and facilitate the East Asian order: (1) An existing security architecture comprised of various bilateral and multilateral mechanisms; (2) the role of America in adjusting the current security multilateralism to lead to it remaining cooperative and/or competitive; and (3) the bilateral relationship of the two powers, the United States and China. The paper argues that East Asian order has been and will be determined by the changing state of Sino-U.S. relations. Then it explores what relationship the United States and China engage in and where it is directed. The next section discusses what effect the Sino-U.S. relationship has on the security order in East Asia focusing on the major multilateral security arrangements as seen in Figure 1. To do this, the two distinct multilateral security mechanisms, the U.S.-Japan-Australia Trilateral Strategic Dialogue (TSD) and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), will be analyzed. Additionally, as a bridge between the United States and China for security cooperation, the Korea-China-Japan Tripartite Cooperation Dialogue (TCD) will be explored. The future of both Sino-U.S. relations and its relations with the East Asian security order are dealt with in the conclusion. Since the current state of U.S.-China relations is a more complicated, lovehate relationship in locked interdependency, the East Asian order is characterized as a foggy, complex hybrid system. Until a power transition between the United States and China comes close to the threshold, the order will be led more by U.S. chosen bilateralism than Chinese preferred multilateralism. As the Obama administration came into office signaling greater enthusiasm for a multilateral enterprise, Washington’s concern over multilateral security architecture in the region will increase. The viability of a multilateral security institution in East Asia, supported by and with the participation of the United States, will become critical as a non-confrontational way to tame China’s rising power. As a result the Tripartite Cooperation Dialogue (TCD) among South Korea,China and Japan, and the Six-Party Talks will probably become influential as multilateral institutions in which the United States and China both share common strategic interests in East Asia. This development would lead the TCD to become a pivotal security mechanism. This then would contribute to freeing East Asian order of a hybrid and complex system.
Abstract
Recognizing that the broader structure of East Asia’s regional order is going to change, this paper assumes that there are three major factors to drive and facilitate the East Asian order: (1) An existing security architecture comprised of various bilateral and multilateral mechanisms; (2) the role of America in adjusting the current security multilateralism to lead to it remaining cooperative and/or competitive; and (3) the bilateral relationship of the two powers, the United States and China. The paper argues that East Asian order has been and will be determined by the changing state of Sino-U.S. relations. Then it explores what relationship the United States and China engage in and where it is directed. The next section discusses what effect the Sino-U.S. relationship has on the security order in East Asia focusing on the major multilateral security arrangements as seen in Figure 1. To do this, the two distinct multilateral security mechanisms, the U.S.-Japan-Australia Trilateral Strategic Dialogue (TSD) and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), will be analyzed. Additionally, as a bridge between the United States and China for security cooperation, the Korea-China-Japan Tripartite Cooperation Dialogue (TCD) will be explored. The future of both Sino-U.S. relations and its relations with the East Asian security order are dealt with in the conclusion. Since the current state of U.S.-China relations is a more complicated, lovehate relationship in locked interdependency, the East Asian order is characterized as a foggy, complex hybrid system. Until a power transition between the United States and China comes close to the threshold, the order will be led more by U.S. chosen bilateralism than Chinese preferred multilateralism. As the Obama administration came into office signaling greater enthusiasm for a multilateral enterprise, Washington’s concern over multilateral security architecture in the region will increase. The viability of a multilateral security institution in East Asia, supported by and with the participation of the United States, will become critical as a non-confrontational way to tame China’s rising power. As a result the Tripartite Cooperation Dialogue (TCD) among South Korea,China and Japan, and the Six-Party Talks will probably become influential as multilateral institutions in which the United States and China both share common strategic interests in East Asia. This development would lead the TCD to become a pivotal security mechanism. This then would contribute to freeing East Asian order of a hybrid and complex system.
참고문헌 (30)
- G. John Ikenberry, "The Rise of China and the Future of the West", Foreign Affairs, 87(1) (2008)
- Naazneen Barma, "A World Without the West", National Interest, 90 (2007)
- Charles Krauthammer, "The Unipolar Moment", Foreign Affairs, (Winter) (1990)
- Richard N. Haass, "The Age of Nonpolarity : What Will Follow U.S. Dominance", Foreign Affairs, 87(3), pp.47~ (2008)
- Richard Weitz, "Why Russia and China Have Not Formed an Anti-American Alliance", Naval War College Review, LVI(4), pp.53~ (2003)
- Bates Gill, "Rising Star: China’s New Security Diplomacy", pp.4~5 (2007), Brookings
- Wayne Bert, "The United States, China and Southeast Asian Security: A Changing of the Guard" (2005), University of British Columbia
- Randall Doyle, "America and China: Asia-Pacific Rim Hegemony in the 21st Century" (2007), Lexington Books
- Steven W. Mosher, "Hegemon: China’s Plan to Dominate Asia and the World" (2001), Encounter Books
- David Shambaugh, "Power Shift: China and Asia’s New Dynamics" (2005), University of California Press
- Kishore Mahbubani, "The New Asian Hemisphere: The Irresistible Shift of Global Power to the East" (2008), Public Affairs
- William T. Tow, "America’s Asia-Pacific Strategy Is Out of Kilter", Current History, 107(701), pp.281~ (2007)
- The Rise of China and its Effect on Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea: U.S. Policy Choices, "Dick K. Nanto", 37~, pp.CRS Report RL 32882 (2006)
- Nick Bisley, "Building Asia’s Security", pp.67~ (2009), Routledge
- Frank Jannuzi, "U.S. Perspectives on East Asia Community Building, In East Asia at a Crossroads", pp.126~ (2008), Japan Center for International Exchange
- Rajan Menon, "The End of Alliances", World Policy Journal, 20(2) (2003)
- Dennis Blair, "From Wheels to Webs: Reconstructing Asia-Pacific Security Arrangements", Washington Quarterly, 24(1) (2004)
- Yoshio Okawara, "Japan’s Evolving Relations with China", AJISS-Commentary, (19), pp.3~ (2007)
- "Asian perspectives on the Challenges of China", the Asia-Pacific Symposium, March 7–8, 2000, cosponsored by the National Defense University and U.S. Pacific Command, 통권 : 2 (2001), National Defense University Press
- Wonhyuk Kim, "Regional Multilateralism in Asia and the Korean Question", pp.17~18 (2009), The Brookings Institution
- Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the Korean Peninsula, "Park Sang Nam", KNSI, 4~, pp.Special Report, no. 5 (2006)
- "Japan and Australia Sign Landmark Defense Pact"[URL]
- "Australia Security Pact to Encircle China"[URL]
- "The New American-led Security Architecture in the Asia Pacific: Binding Japan and Australia, Containing China"[URL]
- Gerald Curtis, "The US in East Asia: Not Architecture but Action", Global Asia, 5(1), pp.47~ (2010)
- Tadashi Yamamoto, "East Asia at a Crossroads, In East Asia at a Crossroads", pp.14~ (2008), Japan Center for International Exchange
- Li Mingjiang, "China and Asian Regionalism: Pragmatism Hinders Leadership", S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, (179), pp.5~ (2009)
- HDS Greenway, "Does China Think the U.S. Is Too Big To Fail", Global Post, ~ (2009)
- Susan Shirk, "American Hopes: An Agenda for Cooperation that Serves U.S. Interests", Global Asia, 5(1) (2010)