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Beyond Identity and Domestic Politics: Stability in South Korea-Japan Relations

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South Korea and Japan have experienced their worst deterioration of bilateralrelations since 2012. What are the long-term prospects for this relationship? Willit continue on this negative trajectory or recover positively in the long term?Challenging the conventional view that supports the former conclusion, this paperargues for a positive outlook for the relationship in the long term. This is defendedfrom a structural perspective relying on two long-term strategic trends for Northeast/East Asia—the elevated uncertainty in the regional environment (due to NorthKorea and China’s strategic rise); and the rising strain on the U.S. military presencein both countries. In response to these structural pressures, South Korea andJapan will adapt and adopt strategies to defend their national security within areformed U.S. alliance structure and strengthen strategic cooperation throughbilateral and trilateral (with the United States) means.

Abstract

South Korea and Japan have experienced their worst deterioration of bilateralrelations since 2012. What are the long-term prospects for this relationship? Willit continue on this negative trajectory or recover positively in the long term?Challenging the conventional view that supports the former conclusion, this paperargues for a positive outlook for the relationship in the long term. This is defendedfrom a structural perspective relying on two long-term strategic trends for Northeast/East Asia—the elevated uncertainty in the regional environment (due to NorthKorea and China’s strategic rise); and the rising strain on the U.S. military presencein both countries. In response to these structural pressures, South Korea andJapan will adapt and adopt strategies to defend their national security within areformed U.S. alliance structure and strengthen strategic cooperation throughbilateral and trilateral (with the United States) means.

참고문헌 (67)

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