Sino–DPRK Relations and Chinese Perception toward North Korea’s Nuclear Issue: Meta-Analysis on Chinese Literature since 2012
6
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This paper examined the perceptions of Chinese scholars on Sino–DPRK relations and North Korea’s nuclear issue through meta-analysis of arguments of 102 articles published from January 2012 to June 2020. As a result of a comprehensive investigation, this paper found six main tendencies on Chinese academic discourse. First, although Sino–DPRK relations became strained at times, most articles viewed it as a friendly alliance and a special relationship. Some also argue that it should be transformed into normal diplomatic relations between sovereign states. Second, while acknowledging North Korea’s role as a strategic buffer, Chinese scholars tend to believe that Pyongyang’s nuclear program not only threatens China’s national security and interests but also allows the United States to strengthen the South Korea–U.S. alliance and implement strategic deterrence against Beijing. Third, in many scholars’ predictions, the North’s nuclear weapons are likely to cause nuclear proliferation and an arms race in East Asia. Fourth, scholars claim that the North’s nuclear issue stem not only from the Cold War but also from the post–Cold War architecture on the Korean Peninsula. In this regard, some of them support the North’s nuclear development, emphasizing a Korean unification led by Pyongyang, a strategic balance between the two Koreas, and lessons from the Indian and Iraqi cases. Fifth, most papers find the root cause of Pyongyang’s nuclear development as being from U.S. military threats, yet the authors think situational changes made the North’s nuclear policy more entrenched. Sixth, the authors stressed Sino– U.S. cooperation is necessary to resolve nuclear issue, criticizing the lack of Washington’s sincerity. They expect Beijing to play an active role in this problem based on its special relationship with Pyongyang despite some limitations.
Abstract
This paper examined the perceptions of Chinese scholars on Sino–DPRK relations and North Korea’s nuclear issue through meta-analysis of arguments of 102 articles published from January 2012 to June 2020. As a result of a comprehensive investigation, this paper found six main tendencies on Chinese academic discourse. First, although Sino–DPRK relations became strained at times, most articles viewed it as a friendly alliance and a special relationship. Some also argue that it should be transformed into normal diplomatic relations between sovereign states. Second, while acknowledging North Korea’s role as a strategic buffer, Chinese scholars tend to believe that Pyongyang’s nuclear program not only threatens China’s national security and interests but also allows the United States to strengthen the South Korea–U.S. alliance and implement strategic deterrence against Beijing. Third, in many scholars’ predictions, the North’s nuclear weapons are likely to cause nuclear proliferation and an arms race in East Asia. Fourth, scholars claim that the North’s nuclear issue stem not only from the Cold War but also from the post–Cold War architecture on the Korean Peninsula. In this regard, some of them support the North’s nuclear development, emphasizing a Korean unification led by Pyongyang, a strategic balance between the two Koreas, and lessons from the Indian and Iraqi cases. Fifth, most papers find the root cause of Pyongyang’s nuclear development as being from U.S. military threats, yet the authors think situational changes made the North’s nuclear policy more entrenched. Sixth, the authors stressed Sino– U.S. cooperation is necessary to resolve nuclear issue, criticizing the lack of Washington’s sincerity. They expect Beijing to play an active role in this problem based on its special relationship with Pyongyang despite some limitations.
참고문헌 (43)
- Huanyu Ren, "Strengthen Sino–DPRK Friendly Cooperation and Jointly Maintain Regional Peace", People’s Daily, ~ (2019)
- Dunqiu Li, "The Meeting Between Chairman Xi and President Kim Sensation the World, the Sino–DPRK Friendship Lasts Forever", China Youth Daily, ~ (2018)
- Dongchen Zhou, "The North Korean Nuclear Issue Which is Affecting China’s Foreign Policy", East Asia Review, (2), pp.108~ (2019)
- Yilong Tian, "Prospects for Sino–DPRK Relations in the New Era", Legal System and Society, (10), pp.111~ (2019)
- Lixin Zhao, "Sino–DPRK Relations: Can the Former ‘Alliance’ Continue?", Journal of Yanbian University, (3), pp.33~ (2017)
- Zhijiang Wei, "Sino–DPRK Relations, Sino–South Korea Relations and the Situation on the Korean Peninsula after President Park Geun-hye Visit to China", Journal of Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, (5), pp.88~ (2013)
- Zhihua Shen, "Several Important Issues in the Study of the History of Sino–DPRK Relations", Journal of Tsinghua University, (1), pp.120~ (2018)
- Ying Li, "The Cost–Benefit Analysis of the Impact of North Korean Nuclear Tests on Sino–DPRK Relations", China Market, (32), pp.133~ (2016)
- Zhaoying Han, "Differences and Cooperation between Sino–US on the North Korean Nuclear Issue", Quarterly Journal of International Politics, (1), pp.59~ (2020)
- Meihua Cai, "Obstacles and Future Prospects of Sino–DPRK Relations", Journal of Yanbian University, (5), pp.5~ (2015)
- Dongxun Pia, "The Evolution of the Korean Peninsula Nuclear Situation and China’s Strategy", Dongjiang Journal, (2), pp.37~ (2018)
- Xiaobo Wang, "‘Anti-Emergency’ and ‘Anti-Stop’: The Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula Requires Thrust to Regroup Together", Journal of Yanbian University, (1), pp.5~ (2020)
- Dunqiu Li, "Why Can Sino–DPRK Relations Rejuvenate", China Youth Daily, ~ (2019)
- Haifan Wang, "The Establishment and Weakening of the Sino–DPRK ‘Lip–Tooth Relationship’", Research of the History of Korea and South Korea, (15), pp.405~ (2014)
- Ruiding Han, "The Geopolitical Nature and Countermeasures of the Evolution of the North Korean Nuclear Issue", Theoretical Horizon, (1), pp.72~ (2018)
- Longfan Jiang, "North Korea’s Nuclear Strategy and Nuclear Diplomacy", Social Science Front, (4), pp.17~ (2013)
- Xiaobo Wang, "The Risks and Countermeasures of the North Korean Nuclear Missile ‘Pendulum Phenomenon’", Journal of Yanbian University, (1), pp.16~ (2018)
- Xing Wu, "North Korean Nuclear Strategy and Chinese Strategic Response", Journal of China Executive Leadership Academy Pudong, (3), pp.85~ (2015)
- Mingyue Li, "The North Korean Nuclear Issue and Sino–US Nuclear Security Game", Journal of International Relations, (2), pp.7~ (2019)
- Yilong Tian, "Prospects for Sino–DPRK Relations in the New Era", Legal System and Society, (10), pp.112~ (2019)
- Rupeng Liu, "New Ideas on Chinese Policy towards North Korea under the New Situation", Journal of Wuhan University of Science and Technology, (4), pp.374~ (2014)
- Dunqiu Li, "On the Risk Decision-Making Psychology of North Korea Owning Nuclear Weapons", Forum of World Economics & Politics, (5), pp.158~ (2019)
- Zhengda Wang, "Chinese Goals, Means and Strategic Models for North Korean Nuclear Crisis Management", Journal of Jiangnan Social University, (3), pp.40~ (2017)
- Hui Yang, "The North Korean Nuclear Crisis Impact on Chinese Security and Its Prospects", Dongjiang Journal, (2), pp.72~ (2017)
- Sheng Wang, "Discussion on New Ideas of ‘Dual Track System’ in Solving the North Korean Nuclear Issue", Northeast Asia Forum, (3), pp.16~ (2016)
- Xiaolin Ma, "North Korean Nuclear Crisis: Viewing the ‘Six–Party Game’ from the ‘Double Track Sanctions’", China Times, ~ (2016)
- Dongxun Piao, "The Evolution of the Korean Peninsula Nuclear Situation and China’s Strategy", Dongjiang Journal, (2), pp.36~ (2018)
- Muke Wang, "China Will Not Be the ‘Last Creditor’ of the North Korean Nuclear Issue", World Affairs, (6), pp.72~ (2016)
- Dianjun Ba, "Similarities and Roles of Sino–South Korea Policy towards North Korea", Collected Papers of Study on Korea, (31), pp.101~ (2013)
- Ruiding Han, "The Geopolitical Nature and Countermeasures of the Evolution of the North Korean Nuclear Issue", Theoretical Horizon, (1), pp.72~ (2018)
- Xiaolin Ma, "Subdue North Korea : Is the Security Council Disposes ‘Straw’?", China Times, ~ (2016)
- Xiaolin Ma, "North Korean Nuclear Crisis : Viewing the ‘Six–Party Game’ from the Double Track Sanctions", China Times, ~ (2016)
- Meiying Huang, "Chinese Strategic Choice on the North Korean Nuclear Issue", Theoretic Observation, (1), pp.43~ (2013)
- Fan Wang, "Chinese Perspective: North Korean Nuclear Issue Status and Solution", Peace and Development, (1), pp.9~ (2020)
- Sheng Wang, "Discussion on New Ideas of ‘Dual Track System’ in Solving the North Korean Nuclear Issue", Northeast Asia Forum, (2), pp.16~ (2016)
- Zhijiang Wei, "Sino–DPRK Relations, Sino–South Korea Relations, and the Situation on the Korean Peninsula after President Park Geun-Hye Visit to China", Journal of Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, (5), pp.12~ (2013)
- Mingyue Li, "The North Korean Nuclear Issue and Sino–US Nuclear Security Game", Journal of International Relations, (2), pp.3~ (2019)
- Zhaoying Han, "Differences and Cooperation between Sino–U.S. on the North Korean Nuclear Issue", Quarterly Journal of International Politics, (1), pp.34~ (2020)
- Jishe Fan, "The North Korean Nuclear Issue and Sino–U. S. Strategic Consensus", American Studies Quarterly, (2), pp.15~ (2014)
- Muke Wang, "Be Alert to the Three ‘Malignant Effects’ of the North Korean Nuclear Issue", World Affairs, (20), pp.72~ (2016)
- Yuanhua Shi, "Chinese Policy towards North Korea Achieves Eight Balances", World Affairs, (15), pp.24~ (2014)
- Xiyu Yang, "The North Korean Nuclear Issue and China’s Policy towards North Korea", Contemporary International Relations, (1), pp.15~ (2017)
- Muke Wang, "Sino–DPRK Relations Don’t Need to ‘Hole’ Diplomacy", World Affairs, (12), pp.61~ (2016)