[Special Issue] The DRPK Energy Sector: Current Status and Future Engagement Options
0
조회
0
다운로드
3
인용
0
참고문헌
초록
This report discusses the history, current status, and potential future of the DPRK energy sector. The authors, drawing on the Nautilus Institute’s decades of work on North Korea, describes the history of the DPRK energy sector, in particular changes in the sector since 1990. The study then looks at the current status and supply and demand balance of North Korea’s energy sector noting the vulnerabilities and critical needs of that sector. The report also explores options for the rehabilitation of the DPRK energy sector that could be used in negotiations with North Korea as part of a “roadmap” to denuclearization and legitimate energy needs if negotiations are not successful and the DPRK either collapses (due to an internal coup, succession crisis, or war) or continues to stagnate. The report concludes by identifying the robust strategies that are important in both engagement and non-engagement (collapse or stagnation) scenarios.
Abstract
This report discusses the history, current status, and potential future of the DPRK energy sector. The authors, drawing on the Nautilus Institute’s decades of work on North Korea, describes the history of the DPRK energy sector, in particular changes in the sector since 1990. The study then looks at the current status and supply and demand balance of North Korea’s energy sector noting the vulnerabilities and critical needs of that sector. The report also explores options for the rehabilitation of the DPRK energy sector that could be used in negotiations with North Korea as part of a “roadmap” to denuclearization and legitimate energy needs if negotiations are not successful and the DPRK either collapses (due to an internal coup, succession crisis, or war) or continues to stagnate. The report concludes by identifying the robust strategies that are important in both engagement and non-engagement (collapse or stagnation) scenarios.
참고문헌 (14)
- International Deployment of Commercial Capability in Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Nuclear Power Plant Design, Manufacture, and Construction for Developing Countries, "L.J. Droutman", Oak Ridge National Laboratory, ~, pp.ORNL (1979), Sub- 7494[DOI]
- "Rural Energy Survey in Unhari Village, The Democratic People’s Republic Of Korea (DPRK): Methods, Results, And Implications" (2001)[URL]
- "Fueling DPRK Energy Futures and Energy Security: 2005 Energy Balance, Engagement Options, and Future Paths" (2007)[URL]
- "DPRK ‘Collapse’ Pathways: Implications for the Energy Sector and for Strategies of Redevelopment/Support"[URL]
- P. Hayes, "North Korea’s “Collapse” Pathways and the Role of the Energy Sector", North Korea Review (2011)
- The DPRK Power Sector: Data & Interconnection Options, "The Korea Journal of Defense Analysis", 2011, 175~190, pp.한국국방연구원
- "North Korea is Dark" (2006)[URL]
- "Unbearable Legacies: The Politics of Environmental Degradation in North Korea"[URL]
- D. von Hippel, "Energy Security for North Korea", Science, 316, pp.1288~1289 (2007)
- "Fueling" (2007)[URL]
- Julia Joo-A Lee, "To Fuel or Not to Fuel: China’s Energy Assistance to North Korea", Asian Security, 2(2), pp.45~72 (2005)
- North Korean Trade with China as Reported in Chinese Customs Statistics: 1995-2000 Energy and Minerals Trends and Implications, "The Korea Journal of Defense Analysis", 2011, 231~255, pp.한국국방연구원
- "Engaging the DPRK Enrichment and Small LWR Program: What Would It Take" (2010)[URL]
- "DPRK Collapse Pathways: Implications for the Energy Sector and for Strategies Redevelopment/Support" (2011)[URL]