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중학생들의 수학 흥미와 성취도의 종단적 변화에 따른 잠재집단 분류 및 영향요인 탐색: 다변량 성장혼합모형을 이용하여

Classification of latent classes and analysis of influencing factors on longitudinal changes in middle school students’ mathematics interest and achievement: Using multivariate growth mixture model

한수연|김래영
한국수학교육학회|2024.02|수학교육 (The Mathematical Education)|제63권 제1호|pp. 19-33|DOI https://doi.org/10.7468/mathedu.2024.63.1.19

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키워드

경기교육종단연구수학 성취도Mathematics achievementGyeonggi education panel study수학 흥미잠재집단 분류다변량 성장혼합모형Mathematics interestLatent class classificationMultivariate growth mixture model

초록

본 연구는 중학생들의 수학 흥미와 성취도의 종단적인 변화 양상을 알아보기 위해 경기교육종단연구 4–6차년도 데이터를분석하였다. 다변량 성장혼합모형을 이용하여 분석한 결과 학생들의 수학 흥미와 성취도의 변화 양상에 이질적인 특성이 존재함을 확인하였고, 종단적인 변화 양상에 따라 학생들을 4개의 잠재집단으로 구분하였다. 학생들은 흥미와 성취도가 모두낮은 저수준 유형, 모두 높은 고수준 유형, 학년이 올라감에 따라 증가하는 중수준-증가 유형, 학년이 올라감에 따라 감소하는 중수준-감소 유형으로 구분되었으며, 유형마다 흥미와 성취도의 종단적인 변화 양상이 다르게 나타나는 것을 확인하였다. 또한, 다변량 성장혼합모형의 초기값과 기울기 사이의 상관관계를 분석한 결과, 수학 흥미와 성취도는 초기값뿐 아니라변화율에 있어서도 서로 긍정적인 영향이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 잠재집단의 결정에 영향을 미치는 요인을 개인, 수업방식, 가정 변인으로 나누어 그 영향력을 살펴보았고, 학생의 교육포부와 사교육 시간은 수학 흥미 및 성취도에 긍정적인 영향을미치며 선행학습의 경우 그 정도에 따라 영향력이 달라지는 양상을 확인하였다. 학생이 인식한 수업방식의 경우, 교수자 중심 수업은 흥미와 성취도가 높은 집단에 속할 확률을 높이고, 학습자 중심 수업은 흥미와 성취도가 낮은 집단에 속할 확률을높이는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 다변량 성장혼합모형을 통해 수학교육에서 흥미와 성취도를 비롯한 다양한 특성에 대한학생들의 변화 양상을 분석하는 새로운 방법을 제시하였다는 점에서 의의가 있다.

Abstract

This study investigates longitudinal patterns in middle school students’ mathematics interest and achievement using panel data from the 4th to 6th year of the Gyeonggi Education Panel Study. Results from the multivariate growth mixture model confirmed the existence of heterogeneous characteristics in the longitudinal trajectory of students’ mathematics interest and achievement. Students were classified into four latent classes: a low-level class with weak interest and achievement, a high-level class with strong interest and achievement, a middlelevel-increasing class where interest and achievement rise with grade, and a middle-level-decreasing class where interest and achievement decline with grade. Each class exhibited distinct patterns in the change of interest and achievement. Moreover, an examination of the correlation between intercepts and slopes in the multivariate growth mixture model reveals a positive association between interest and achievement with respect to their initial values and growth rates. We further explore predictive variables influencing latent class assignment. The results indicated that students’ educational ambition and time spent on private education positively affect mathematics interest and achievement, and the influence of prior learning varies based on its intensity. The perceived instruction method significantly impacts latent class assignment: teacher-centered instruction increases the likelihood of belonging to higher-level classes, while learner-centered instruction increases the likelihood of belonging to lower-level classes. This study has significant implications as it presents a new method for analyzing the longitudinal patterns of students’ characteristics in mathematics education through the application of the multivariate growth mixture model.

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