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핵무장 정책 선호의 정치심리 기반: 도덕 기반 이론을 중심으로

Moral Foundations of South Koreans’ Nuclear Policy Preference

윤광일
미래정치연구소 (Korea Institute for Future Politics)|2024.12|미래정치연구 (JOURNAL OF FUTURE POLITICS)|제14권 제2호|pp. 41-77|DOI 10.20973/jofp.2024.14.2.41

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Moral Foundations핵무장 정책 선호북핵 위협 인식도덕 기반 이론North Korea’s Nuclear Threat PerceptionNuclear Weapons Policy Preferences

초록

이 글은 현재 대한민국 안보의 핵심 현안인 북한의 핵 위협과 한국의 독자 핵무장을 포함하여 핵무기 관련 정책 쟁점에 대한 유권자 선호의 정치심리 기반을 도덕 기반(moral founda\-tions)을 중심으로 파악하고자 했다. 이 연구에서는 보수 성향과 선택적 친화가 있는 결속 도덕 기반이 북한의 핵 위협에 더 민감하고 핵무장 관련 정책에 보수적 선호를 보일 것이라는 이론적 가설을 제시하고, 이를 대표성 있는 표본 설문조사 자료를 활용하여 통계적으로 검정했다. 연구 결과 서구와는 달리 타협과 공존이 불가능해 보이는 도덕과 정치이념 및 이데올로기에 바탕을 둔 위협 인식과 선호 차이가 적어도 현재까지는 표면화되지 않은 것으로 드러났다.

Abstract

This article attempts to understand the political psychology of South Korean preferences on nuclear weapons-related policy issues, including the North Korean nuclear threat and South Korea’s own nuclear armament, focusing on moral founda\-tions. Using a nationally representative sample, it statistically tests hypotheses that binding moral foundations, known to have selective affinity with conservatism, would lead individuals to be more sensitive to the North Korean nuclear threat and to show conservative preferences for nuclear weapons policies. The results show that, unlike in the West, differences in nuclear threat perception and nuclear weapons policy preferences based on seemingly irreconcilable moral and political ideologies and ideologies have not surfaced, at least not yet.

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