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Sensitivity Analysis of the 217Plus™ Component Models for Reliability Prediction of Electronic Systems

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초록

MIL-HDBK-217 has played a pivotal role in reliability prediction of electronic equipments for more than 30 years. Recently, RIAC developed a new methodology 217Plus™, which officially replaces MIL-HDBK-217. Sensitivity analysis of the 217Plus component models to various parameters has been performed and meaningful observations have been drawn in this study. We first briefly reviewed the 217Plus™ methodolog and compared it with the conventional model, MIL-HDBK-217. We then performed sensitivity analysis 217Plus™ component models to various parameters. Based on the six parameters and an orthogonal array selected, we have performed indepth analyses concerning parameter effects on the model. Our result indicates that, among various parameters,operating temperature and temperature rise during operation have the most significant impacts on the life of a component, and thus a design robust to high temperature is the most importantly required. Next, year of manufacture, duty cycle, and voltage stress are weaker but may be significant when they are in heavy load conditions. Although our study is restricted to a specific type of diodes, the results are still valid to other cases. The results in this study not only figure out the behavior of the predicted failure rate as a function of parameters but provide meaningful guidelines for practical applications.

Abstract

MIL-HDBK-217 has played a pivotal role in reliability prediction of electronic equipments for more than 30 years. Recently, RIAC developed a new methodology 217Plus™, which officially replaces MIL-HDBK-217. Sensitivity analysis of the 217Plus component models to various parameters has been performed and meaningful observations have been drawn in this study. We first briefly reviewed the 217Plus™ methodolog and compared it with the conventional model, MIL-HDBK-217. We then performed sensitivity analysis 217Plus™ component models to various parameters. Based on the six parameters and an orthogonal array selected, we have performed indepth analyses concerning parameter effects on the model. Our result indicates that, among various parameters,operating temperature and temperature rise during operation have the most significant impacts on the life of a component, and thus a design robust to high temperature is the most importantly required. Next, year of manufacture, duty cycle, and voltage stress are weaker but may be significant when they are in heavy load conditions. Although our study is restricted to a specific type of diodes, the results are still valid to other cases. The results in this study not only figure out the behavior of the predicted failure rate as a function of parameters but provide meaningful guidelines for practical applications.

참고문헌 (13)

  1. MiL-HDBK-217F Notice 2, "Military Handbook, Reliability Prediction of Electronic Equipment", Department of Defense, ~ (1995)
  2. Denson, W., "Handbook of 217PlusTM Reliability Prediction Models" (2006), RIAC
  3. Nicholls, D., "What is 217PlusTM and Where Did It Come From", IEEE, pp.22~27 (2007)
  4. Nicholls, D., "An Overview of the 217PlusTM System Reliability Assessment Methodology", RIAC Journal, (4), pp.20~22 (2006)
  5. Dylis, D. D., "PRISM: A new Approach to Reliability Prediction", American Society for Quality Control (ASQC) Reliability Review, 2(1) (2001)
  6. Brown, L, M., "Comparing Reliability Predictions to field data for Plastic parts in a Military, Airborne Environment", 2003 Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium, pp.207~213 (2003)
  7. Kleyner, A., "Enhanced Reliability Prediction Method Based on Merging Military Standards Approach with Manufacturer’s Warranty Data", 2003 Proceedings Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium, IEEE, pp.202~206 (2003)
  8. Smith, C., "Raytheon Assessment of PRISM as a field failure prediction", IEEE Annual Reliability and maintainability Symposium Proceedings (2004)
  9. Peace, G. S., "Taguchi Methods" (1993), Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, Inc
  10. Taguchi, G., "Taguchi’s Quality Engineering Handbook" (2005), John Wiley & Sons Inc
  11. Jeon, T. B., "Reliability Predictions of Electrical and Electronic System" (2010), Kyowoosa
  12. Nicholls, D., "An Introduction to the RIAC 217PlusTM Component Failure Rate Models", RIAC Journal, (1), pp.16~21 (2007)
  13. Nicholls, D., "The RIAC 217PlusTM Capacity and Diode Failure Rate Models", RIAC Journal, (2), pp.16~21 (2007)

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