예멘 내전의 갈등구조 변화 연구
The Changes in Conflict Structure in the Yemen Civil War
0
조회
0
다운로드
2
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
The prolonged civil war in Yemen is causing the most serious humanitarian crisis. However, changes in the structure of the conflict are also being observed. This paper examined the causes of conflict and cooperation revealed in Yemen's civil war by applying the change in 'interests' pursued by major actors to Udalov's theory of interest balance. Yemen's civil war stems from a clash of interests between the Yemeni government and the Houthi rebels, Saudi Arabia, and the Southern Separatist Forces over political power. However, the complex conflict structure by the intervention of various actors was changed by adjusting the interests pursued by each actor. Although the interests sought by the actors can shift depending on the environment and conditions, it cannot be said that some of the cooperation observed in the Yemeni civil war leads to a permanent end. Nevertheless, changes in the relationship between actors pursuing interests ultimately affect changes in the conflict structure. This is why it is necessary to focus more on actors' interests to predict the direction of civil wars.
Abstract
The prolonged civil war in Yemen is causing the most serious humanitarian crisis. However, changes in the structure of the conflict are also being observed. This paper examined the causes of conflict and cooperation revealed in Yemen's civil war by applying the change in 'interests' pursued by major actors to Udalov's theory of interest balance. Yemen's civil war stems from a clash of interests between the Yemeni government and the Houthi rebels, Saudi Arabia, and the Southern Separatist Forces over political power. However, the complex conflict structure by the intervention of various actors was changed by adjusting the interests pursued by each actor. Although the interests sought by the actors can shift depending on the environment and conditions, it cannot be said that some of the cooperation observed in the Yemeni civil war leads to a permanent end. Nevertheless, changes in the relationship between actors pursuing interests ultimately affect changes in the conflict structure. This is why it is necessary to focus more on actors' interests to predict the direction of civil wars.
참고문헌 (45)
- 김중관, "Mapping the Process of Yemeni Crisis and Implication of Refugees Issue", 한국중동학회논총, 41(1), pp.35~66 (2020), 한국중동학회[DOI]
- 남옥정, "GCC중재안에 따른 예멘 권력이양과정과 지속적불안정 요인 연구", 한국이슬람학회논총, 25(3), pp.33~58 (2015), 한국이슬람학회
- 남옥정, "예멘의 대내외적 핵심 행위자들의 전략적 동맹과 그 변화요인 분석", 중동연구, 37(3), pp.1~26 (2019), 중동연구소
- UAE의 예멘, 리비아 개입과 역내 영향력 변화, "남옥정", GCC, 11~11, pp.『GCC Issue Paper』 제31권 (2020)
- 연합뉴스, "예멘 반군 사우디 남부 수개월 공격으로 포로 수천명잡아", ~ (2019)
- 윤수한, "2021년 사우디 예산안 주요 내용", Kotra 해외시장뉴스, ~ (2020)
- UAE 사우디아라비아의 개혁정책과 청년 의식 변화의 역할, "장지향", 4~6, pp.이슈브리프 2019-19 (2019)
- 예멘 남부과도위원회의 독립국가 건설 가능성, "홍미정", GCC, 6~, pp.『GCC Issue Paper』 제29권 (2019)
- 홍미정, "20세기 중반, 예멘의 정치변동과 역내 패권 경쟁", 한국중동학회논총, 41(1), pp.123~158 (2020), 한국중동학회[DOI]
- 홍미정, "20세기 후반이후, 예멘의 정치변동과 역내 패권경쟁", 중동연구, 39(2), pp.25~62 (2020), 중동연구소
- "Conflict in Aden: Implications of the Pro-Hadi Forces’Defeat" (2019)[URL]
- Addin, Maysa Shuja, "Yemen’s Houthis and former President Saleh: An Alliance of Animosity", Arab Reform Initiative, 6~ (2016)
- Al Akwaa, Loaai, "The Houthi-Saleh Alliance of Convenience", IndraStra Global, 3(5), pp.1~ (2017)
- Al Batati, Saeed, "Who are the Houthis in Yemen?", Aljazeera, ~ (2015)
- Aljazeera, "Houthi drone attacks on 2 Saudi Aramco oil facilities spark fires", ~ (2019)
- Aljazeera, "Yemen’s Riyadh Agreement: An overview", ~ (2020)
- Aljazeera, "New Yemen gov’t sworn in after Saudi-brokered power-sharing deal", ~ (2020)
- Aljazeera, "How the Yemen conflict flare-up affects its humanitarian crisis", ~ (2022)
- Ardemagni, Eleonora, "The Saudi-Yemeni Militarized Borderland", Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, ~ (2020)
- Bahfi, Salem, "FAMILIAR BUT DISTINCT: Understanding the Houthi Ideology and its Consequences on Yemen", Embassy of Yemen in Washington, 13~46 (2020)
- BBC, "Yemen crisis: Separatists seize government buildings in Aden", ~ (2018)
- Chepkemoi, Joyce, "Yemen's Tribes And Tribal Confederations", World Atlas, ~ (2017)
- Clausen, M. L., "Competing for control over the state: The case of Yemen", Small Wars & Insurgencies, 29(3), pp.560~578 (2018)
- Darwich, M., "The Saudi intervention in Yemen : Struggling for status", Insight Turkey, 20(2), pp.125~142 (2018)
- DeLozier, Elana, "Riyadh Agreement Redux: Political Gains Still Dogged by Implementation Concerns", The Washington Institute, ~ (2020)
- Glenn, Cameron, "Who are Yemen's Houthis?", The Wilson Center, ~ (2015)
- Grieco, J. M., "Anarchy and the limits of cooperation: A realist critique of the newest liberal institutionalism", International Organization, 42(3), pp.485~507 (1988)
- Hubbard, Ben, "Yemen’s Houthis Went From Ragtag Militia to Force Threatening Gulf Powers", The New York Times, ~ (2022)
- North and South Yemen Lead Up to the Break Up, "Hurd, Robert", ~, pp.Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, 48 (1994)
- "The conflict in Saada Governorate" (2008)[URL]
- The Iranian and Houthi War against Saudi Arabia, "Jones, Seth G.", CSIS, ~, pp.CSIS Briefs, 10 (2021)
- Juneau, Thomas, "Iran’s policy towards the Houthis in Yemen", International Affairs, 92(3), pp.653~ (2016)
- Middle East Monitor, "UAE-Yemeni troops battle for Aden airport", ~ (2017)
- Nagi, Ahmed, "Yemen’s Houthis Used Multiple Identities to Advance", Carnegie Middle East Center, ~ (2019)
- Radman, Hussam, "The Riyadh Agreement One Year On", Sana'a Center For Strategic Studies, ~ (2020)
- Riedel, Bruce, "Who are the Houthis, and why are we at war with them?", Brookings, ~ (2017)
- Saleh, Wafeeq, "A multi-armed economy: How Houthis reap massive public revenues without providing services", Al-Masdar Online, ~ (2020)
- Salisbury, Peter, "Yemen and the Saudi-Iranian ‘Cold War’", Chatham House, 4~ (2015)
- Salmoni, Barak A., "Regime and Periphery in Northern Yemen", pp.131~157 (2010), RAND National Defense Research Institute
- Schweller, Randall L, "Bandwagoning for Profit: Bring the Revisionist State Back In", International Security, 19(1), pp.88~92 (1994)
- Schmitz, Charles, "Yemen’s Ansar Allah: Causes and Effects of Its Pursuit of Power", Middle East Institute, ~ (2015)
- Sowers, J., "Humanitarian challenges and the targeting of civilian infrastructure in the Yemen war", International Affairs, 97(1), pp.157~177 (2021)
- Udalov, Vadim V, "The Concept of Balance of Interests and U. S.-Soviet Interaction", Resolving Regional Conflicts: International Perspectives, 518, pp.168~175 (1991)
- "Yemen Country Brief" (2022)[URL]
- "CHOLERA SITUATION IN YEMEN" (2021)[URL]