예멘의 대내외적 핵심 행위자들의 전략적 동맹과 그 변화요인 분석
Analysis on Strategic Alliances of Internal and External Key Actors in Yemen and Its Changing Factors
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The premise of this study is that the situation of the Yemen civil war has worsened because of the strategic alliances of Yemen’s internal and external actors with different interests and the collapse of these alliances due to the changing conditions of maintaining them. The purpose of this study is to analyze what the changing factors of the strategic alliances of Yemen are, to reveal how these factors unveil the structural weakness of those alliances, and to show that the unstable nature of those alliances creates a greater concern for the prolongation of the war situation in Yemen. This paper identifies Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, the US, and the Hadi government of Yemen as major internal and external actors involved in Yemen. It also includes non-governmental organizations such as the Houthi, and the Southern separatist. The theoretical framework of this study is the international politics theories of alliance. This study concludes that the changing factors of alliances emerge under the three situations: when alliances have shifting perceptions of the threat among them; when allies have to pay higher cost of maintaining alliances than their national interests; and, finally, when allies find themselves in the increasing risk of abandonment and entrapment. These changing factors of alliances expose the structural weakness of these alliances with lower-level confidence and cause the risk of changes in the relations among alliances.
Abstract
The premise of this study is that the situation of the Yemen civil war has worsened because of the strategic alliances of Yemen’s internal and external actors with different interests and the collapse of these alliances due to the changing conditions of maintaining them. The purpose of this study is to analyze what the changing factors of the strategic alliances of Yemen are, to reveal how these factors unveil the structural weakness of those alliances, and to show that the unstable nature of those alliances creates a greater concern for the prolongation of the war situation in Yemen. This paper identifies Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, the US, and the Hadi government of Yemen as major internal and external actors involved in Yemen. It also includes non-governmental organizations such as the Houthi, and the Southern separatist. The theoretical framework of this study is the international politics theories of alliance. This study concludes that the changing factors of alliances emerge under the three situations: when alliances have shifting perceptions of the threat among them; when allies have to pay higher cost of maintaining alliances than their national interests; and, finally, when allies find themselves in the increasing risk of abandonment and entrapment. These changing factors of alliances expose the structural weakness of these alliances with lower-level confidence and cause the risk of changes in the relations among alliances.
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