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SHORT-TERM DEBT IN INTERNATIONAL BANKING CRISES

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This paper explores how a bank run can occur when a bank takes into account short-term capital inflow from abroad. My model is an extension of the Diamond-Dybvig model to include the possibility that short-term liquidity needs can be met by borrowing from abroad. In the model, it is more efficient to meet short-term liquidity needs this way than by holding liquid domestic assets. I show conditions under which a “bad” equilibrium exists in which pessimistic foreign investors withhold their investments, making a bank run the equilibrium strategy for domestic agents and making those expectations self-fulfilling.

Abstract

This paper explores how a bank run can occur when a bank takes into account short-term capital inflow from abroad. My model is an extension of the Diamond-Dybvig model to include the possibility that short-term liquidity needs can be met by borrowing from abroad. In the model, it is more efficient to meet short-term liquidity needs this way than by holding liquid domestic assets. I show conditions under which a “bad” equilibrium exists in which pessimistic foreign investors withhold their investments, making a bank run the equilibrium strategy for domestic agents and making those expectations self-fulfilling.

참고문헌 (5)

  1. Chang, Roberto, "Banks, debt maturity, and financial crises", Journal of International Economics, 51, pp.164~194 (2000)
  2. Cooper, Russell, "Bank runs: Liquidity costs and investment distortion", Journal of Monetary Economics, 41, pp.27~38 (1998)
  3. Cooper,Russell, "Coordination Games: Complementarities and Macroeconomics" (1999), University Press
  4. Diamond, Douglas W., "Bank run, Deposit Insurance and Liquidity", Journal of Political Economy, 91 (1983)
  5. Freeman, Scott, "Banking as the Provision of Liquidity", Journal of Business, 61(1), pp.45~64 (1988)

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