Forecasting the Demand for Primary and Secondary School Teachers in a Unified Korea
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This study attempts to predict the demand for primary and secondary school teachers in South and North Korea after unification. The scenario forecasting method was used for the prediction, based on the goal of the number of students per teacher in South Korea. It is anticipated that there will be a large demand for teachers - around 4,000 for elementary school and 4,500 for middle school every year - and this demand is expected to last for ten years after unification. The South Korean teacher-training system might not be able to afford such large demand for primary teachers, and so emergency short-term plans should be considered along with long-term plans for the supply of primary school teachers.
Abstract
This study attempts to predict the demand for primary and secondary school teachers in South and North Korea after unification. The scenario forecasting method was used for the prediction, based on the goal of the number of students per teacher in South Korea. It is anticipated that there will be a large demand for teachers - around 4,000 for elementary school and 4,500 for middle school every year - and this demand is expected to last for ten years after unification. The South Korean teacher-training system might not be able to afford such large demand for primary teachers, and so emergency short-term plans should be considered along with long-term plans for the supply of primary school teachers.
참고문헌 (30)
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