본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

전쟁의 장기화 원인에 관한 고찰: 베트남전쟁 사례를 중심으로

A Study on the Causes of War Protraction: Focusing on the Vietnam War

0

조회

0

다운로드

2

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

초록

대다수 전쟁연구는 ‘왜 전쟁이 발생하는가’와 ‘언제, 어떻게 시작할 것인가’에초점을 맞추어 온 반면, 전쟁이 ‘언제, 어떻게 종결되어 지는가’에 대한 연구는상대적으로 미흡했다고 볼 수 있다. 전쟁이 종결되는 조건에 대한 기존연구들은대부분 합리적 모델(rational model) 이론에 그 기반을 두고 있다. 그러나 실제로현실세계에서의 전쟁은 일단 시작하고 나면 합리적 모델에서 주장하는 손익분기점에서 종결이 이루어지지 않으며, 구조적인 요인들에 의해 흔히 장기화되는경향을 보여주고 있다. 본 연구는 전쟁이란 본질적으로 시작하기보다 끝내기가어렵다는 구조적 속성이 내재되어 있음을 전제하고, 이러한 전제를 뒷받침해주는 구조적 요인들을 규명하고 이러한 요인들이 실제 베트남전쟁에서 어떻게 작동되었는가에 연구의 중점을 두고 있다. 즉 전쟁 종결을 어렵게 하고 장기화로이어지게 만드는 반복적으로 되풀이되는 요인들을 제시한 후, 베트남전쟁을 사례로 그것들이 어떻게 베트남전쟁의 장기화에 기여를 했는가를 보여주고 정책적 시사점을 제시하고자 한다.

Abstract

Most war studies have focused on the causes of war or when and how they should be initiated. However, research on war termination is relatively rare. A large portion of war termination studies are based on the rational model. However, real wars have a tendency of being protracted beyond the break-even point assigned by rational model theory. In this context, this study, under the premise that war is much easier to initiate rather than to end, examines the structural factors associated with war protraction and illuminates the Vietnam war as a case study. Some political implications are offered in the conclusion.

참고문헌 (54)

  1. 정재욱, "전쟁론" (2015), 플래닛미디어
  2. Blainey, Geoffrey, "The Causes of War" (1988), Free Press
  3. Calahan, H. A., "What Makes a War End?" (1944), Vanguard Press
  4. Clausewitz, Carl von, "On War, trans. Michael Howard and Peter Paret" (1976), Princeton University Press
  5. Cochrane, Feargal, "Ending Wars" (2008), Policy Press
  6. Colby, William, "Lost War: A First Hand Account of America’s Sixteen-Year Involvement in Vietnam" (1989), Contemporary Books
  7. Coser, Lewis, "Termination of Conflict", Journal of Peace Resolution, 5(2), pp.341~352 (1961)
  8. Currey, Cecil B., "Victory at any Cost: The Genius of Vietnam’s Gen. Vo Nguyen Giap" (1997), Brassey’s Inc
  9. Duiker, William J, "The Communist Road to Power in Vietnam" (1981), Westview Press
  10. Duiker, William J., "Sacred War: Nationalism and Revolution in a Divided Vietnam" (1995), McGraw-Hill, Inc
  11. Duiker, William J., "Ho Chi Minh: A Life" (2000), Hyperion
  12. Ellsberg, Daniel, "Secrets: A Memoir of Vietnam and the Pentagon" (2003), Penguin Books Press
  13. Flavin, William, "Planning for Conflict Termination and Post Conflict Success", Parameters, 33(3) (2003)
  14. Fox, William T. R., "The Causes of Peace and Conditions of War", The Annals of The American Academy of Political and Social Science, 392, pp.1~13 (1970)
  15. Gartner, Scott Sigmund, "Strategic Assessment in War" (1997), Yale University Press
  16. Gelb, H. Leslie, "The Irony of Vietnam: System Worked" (1979), Brookings Institution Press
  17. Gittinger, Ted., "The Johnson Years" (1993), University of Texas Press
  18. Giap, Vo Nguyen, "Visions of Victory: Selected Vietnamese Communist Military Writings, 1964-1968" (1968), Hoover Institution
  19. Giap, Vo Nguyen, "People’s War" (1965), People’s Army
  20. Gilbert, Marc Jason, "Why the North Won the Vietnam War" (2002), Palgrave
  21. Goemans, Hein E, "War and punishment: The causes of War Termination and the First World War" (2000), Princeton Univ. Press
  22. Gravel, Mike, "The Pentagon Papers: The Defense Department History of United States Decisionmaking on Vietnam" (1971), Beacon Press
  23. Gray, Colin S., "Defining and Achieving Decisive Victory" (2002), Strategic Studies Institute
  24. Handel, Michael, "War, Strategy, and Intelligence" (1989), Frank Cass Press
  25. Hersh, Seymour, "The Price of Power: Kissinger in Nixon White House" (1984), Touchstone Press
  26. Holl, Jane E., "Stopping the Killing: How Civil Wars End" (1993), New York University Press
  27. Ikle, Fred Charles, "Every War Must End" (1971), Columbia University Press
  28. Jacobsen, Mark, "The Tet Offensive" (2008), Praeger
  29. Jameson, Neil, "Understanding Vietnam" (1995), University of California Press
  30. Keen, David, "Endless War? Hidden Functions of the ‘War on Terror.’" (2006), Pluto Press
  31. Kissinger, Henry, "White House Years" (1979), Little, Brown
  32. Kolko, Gabriel, "Anatomy of a War: Vietnam, the U.S., and the Modern Historical Experience" (1985), Random House
  33. Le Duan, "On Vietnamese People’s War" (1994), Foreign Language Publishing House
  34. Le Duan, "Letters to the South" (1986), Foreign Languages Publishing House
  35. Lind, Michael, "Vietnam: The Necessary War" (2002), A touchtone Book
  36. Maclear Michael, "Vietnam: The Ten Thousand Day War" (1982), Methuen Publishing Ltd
  37. Martel, William C., "Victory in War: Foundations of Modern Military Policy" (2007), Cambridge University Press
  38. Mandel, Robert, "The Meaning of Military Victory" (2006), Lynne Rienner
  39. Mesquita, Bruce Bueno de, "The War Trap. New Haven" (1981), Yale University Press
  40. Mesquita, Bruce Bueno de, "War and Reason: Domestic and International Imperatives" (1992), Yale University Press
  41. Mitchell, C. R., "The Structure of International Conflict" (1989), Macmillan Press
  42. Newton, Paul, "Reclaiming the Art of British Strategic Thinking", RUSI Journal, 155(1), pp.44~50 (2010)
  43. Pape, Robert A, "Coercive Air power in the Vietnam War", ternational Security, 15(2), pp.103~146 (1990)
  44. Pearson, William, "The War in the Northern Provinces, 1966-1968" (1968), Department of the Army
  45. Pillar, Paul R, "Negotiating Peace: War Termination as a Bargaining Process" (1983), Princeton University Press
  46. Shawcross, William, "Sideshow: Kissinger, Nixon and the Destruction of Cambodia" (1979), Simon and Schuster
  47. Stanley, Elizabeth, "Paths to Peace: Domestic Coalition Shifts, War Termination and the Korean War" (2009), Stanfield University Press
  48. Sorly, Lewis, "A Better War" (1999), A Habor Book
  49. Summers, Harry G, "On Strategy: A Critical Analysis of the Vietnam War" (1984), Dell Pub. co
  50. Tuck, Christopher, "Afghanistan: Strategy and War Termination", Parameters, 53(3) (2012)
  51. Westmoreland, William C., "A Soldier Report" (1976), Doubledays
  52. Wittman, Donald, "How a War Ends", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 23(4), pp.743~763 (1979)
  53. Young, Marilyn, "The Vietnam Wars" (1991), Harpercollins press
  54. Zartman, I. William, "Stopping the Killing: How Civil Wars End" (1993), New York University Press

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (7건)