일본의 지역 정책에 있어 다자협력에 대한 접근 변화 연구: ASEAN에서 쿼드로
The Shift of Japan's Approach toward the Multilateral Cooperation in Its Regional Policy: From ASEAN to Quad
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초록
일본은 왜 새로운 지역 다자협의체로서 쿼드의 부활을 적극적으로 추진했는가? 나아가 어떻게 이를 실현할 수 있었는가? 이 글에서는 일본 정부가 기존의 지역다자협력의 중심을 ASEAN에서 쿼드로 전환한, 그리고 그렇게 할 수 있었던 요인으로 위협 균형, 힘의 균형에 더해 평판의 영향력을 지적한다. 일본이 가진 평판은일본이 지역 다자협력을 추진하는 데 있어서 누구와 협력할지, 그리고 협력할 수있는지를 설명하는 핵심요인이다. 일본의 평판이 ‘非군사대국’에서 신뢰할 수 있는안보협력 파트너로 변화함에 따라 쿼드의 부활이 가능했던 것이다.
Abstract
Why did Japan actively promote the revival of the Japan-US-Australia-India Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (Quad) as its new regional cooperation platform? And How could they succeed in convincing others to join? This article focuses on the shift in Japan's pursuit of reputation in the security realms and the need to balance against China as US's presence in the region is in relative decline. In this article I insist that the change of Japan's pursued reputation from ‘non-military power’ to ‘reliable security partner’ in the regional/international community is the reason that Japan could convince other regional partners and lead the revival of Quad. This argument is based on the logic of the cooperation and reputation. Cooperation needs information about potential partner's intention, and reputation of potential partners contains observable information, especially whether they are trustful or not. In other words, reputation is an important causal mechanism for emergence of multilateral cooperation, especially when it comes to the question of ‘whom to cooperate with’. This is the reason why Japan's reputation or change of the reputation is key to the emergence of Quad.
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