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WHO IS STRONGER? A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS ON THE READINESS AND CAPABILITIES OF THE NORTH AND SOUTH KOREAN MILITARIES

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This paper reports the results of a methodology that conducts an analysis on the readiness and capabilities of the two Korean militaries. The methodology uses a framework for analysis that compares and contrasts key factors that evaluate the effectiveness of militaries and the governments that support them. This methodology was used to reach an assessment on which military - North or South Korea - is most likely to win in a force on force conflict. Results of the analysis suggest that the South Korean military is far more ready to conduct a successful large-scale conflict than the military of North Korea. In addition, regarding readiness and capabilities for using weapons of mass destruction, analysis results suggest that the strength of the US-ROK alliance makes it unlikely that Pyongyang would ever attempt to use these weapons during a conflict.

Abstract

This paper reports the results of a methodology that conducts an analysis on the readiness and capabilities of the two Korean militaries. The methodology uses a framework for analysis that compares and contrasts key factors that evaluate the effectiveness of militaries and the governments that support them. This methodology was used to reach an assessment on which military - North or South Korea - is most likely to win in a force on force conflict. Results of the analysis suggest that the South Korean military is far more ready to conduct a successful large-scale conflict than the military of North Korea. In addition, regarding readiness and capabilities for using weapons of mass destruction, analysis results suggest that the strength of the US-ROK alliance makes it unlikely that Pyongyang would ever attempt to use these weapons during a conflict.

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