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Rethinking the Six-Party Process on Korea

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As of late 2010 the six-party process regarding North Korean proliferation is moribund if not dead. Moreover, multiple crises generated by provocative North Korean behavior could set in motion a chain of events leading to conflicts if not outright war. Furthermore, it should be clear that the U.S. policy of attempting to pressure China to pressure North Korea to behave in what Washington considers to be a more reasonable manner and negotiate seriously is a futile enterprise. Accordingly this essay examines the reasons for the failure of the six-party talks and does so not only with reference to North Korean behavior, but also with an eye to the larger strategic environment in which the talks occur. Bearing in mind the fundamental transformation of Northeast Asia’s strategic landscape the essay then proceeds to suggest a way out of the impasse for the United States in order to regenerate a process that might actually bring North Korea back to a serious negotiation.

Abstract

As of late 2010 the six-party process regarding North Korean proliferation is moribund if not dead. Moreover, multiple crises generated by provocative North Korean behavior could set in motion a chain of events leading to conflicts if not outright war. Furthermore, it should be clear that the U.S. policy of attempting to pressure China to pressure North Korea to behave in what Washington considers to be a more reasonable manner and negotiate seriously is a futile enterprise. Accordingly this essay examines the reasons for the failure of the six-party talks and does so not only with reference to North Korean behavior, but also with an eye to the larger strategic environment in which the talks occur. Bearing in mind the fundamental transformation of Northeast Asia’s strategic landscape the essay then proceeds to suggest a way out of the impasse for the United States in order to regenerate a process that might actually bring North Korea back to a serious negotiation.

참고문헌 (46)

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