Dealing with Pyongyang: In Search of a More Effective Strategy.
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The United States and Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) both claim equal determination to achieve a peaceful, diplomatic solution to the Korean Peninsula’s nuclear issue, but their strategies have failed to achieve progress toward their avowed goal. Here we focus on Washington’s preferred strategy of “neo-containment.” The Bush Administration, since taking office in 2001, has consistently rejected any engagement of North Korea, diplomatically and commercially. Yet at the same time it has declared its preference for a “diplomatic” solution to the nuclear issue. Achieving a “diplomatic” solution without diplomacy and diplomatic dialogue is impossible. Since the start of his second term, however, President Bush appears to have moderated his rejection of “engagement” by tempering his preference for “containment” with some aspects of engagement. This has yielded a hybrid strategy labeled here as “neo-containment.” All the fundamental elements of containment remain in place, such as restrictions on diplomatic contact and economic sanctions, but some dialogue is permitted “under the umbrella of the Six-Party Talks and for the sole purpose of resolving the nuclear issue.” Bush’s “neo-containment” strategy, however, ignores the fact that even if the Six-Party Talks resume, successful negotiation of a resolution and its implementation will require a strategy of engagement
Abstract
The United States and Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) both claim equal determination to achieve a peaceful, diplomatic solution to the Korean Peninsula’s nuclear issue, but their strategies have failed to achieve progress toward their avowed goal. Here we focus on Washington’s preferred strategy of “neo-containment.” The Bush Administration, since taking office in 2001, has consistently rejected any engagement of North Korea, diplomatically and commercially. Yet at the same time it has declared its preference for a “diplomatic” solution to the nuclear issue. Achieving a “diplomatic” solution without diplomacy and diplomatic dialogue is impossible. Since the start of his second term, however, President Bush appears to have moderated his rejection of “engagement” by tempering his preference for “containment” with some aspects of engagement. This has yielded a hybrid strategy labeled here as “neo-containment.” All the fundamental elements of containment remain in place, such as restrictions on diplomatic contact and economic sanctions, but some dialogue is permitted “under the umbrella of the Six-Party Talks and for the sole purpose of resolving the nuclear issue.” Bush’s “neo-containment” strategy, however, ignores the fact that even if the Six-Party Talks resume, successful negotiation of a resolution and its implementation will require a strategy of engagement