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고속철도가 국토공간의 인구분산에 미치는 영향

The Effects of Rapid Rail Transit on Population Distribution

정진규|이성우|지우석
국토연구원|2004.03|국토연구 (The Korea Spatial Planning Review)|제40권 |pp. 1-1

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참고문헌

키워드

Spatial Econometrics인구분포Population Distribution고속철도공간계량모형공간적접근도Rapid Rail Transit

초록

Abstract

The purpose of the present study intends to evaluate impacts of high-speed rail transit on population distribution in Korea. Does the initiation of the transit result in the population dispersion from such developed regions as Seoul or Busan? Does construction of high-speed rail transit lead to the reduced regional disparities in terms of population distribution? To answer these questions, we construct a spatial econometric model and simulation analyses are carried out for two alternative hypothetical scenarios of the rapid rail transit network of which the first step will be initiated in April, 2004 and the completion of the transit will be made in 2010. We found that cities linked to the rapid rail corridor have population gains, however, other regions remoted from the corridor expected to lose the net migration. The loss is predicted to be particularly serious for KangWon and Northern Jolla that are far distant from the main corridor. We also found that rural areas in all regions will be losers in net population migration. The present study concludes with suggesting some policy implications that may alleviate the disparities caused by the rapid rail transit.

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