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이벤트데이터 분석기법을 이용한 탈냉전기 북한과 주변국과의 분쟁—협력 관계, 1990-2007

North Korea’s Conflict-Cooperation Relations between Surrounding Powers during the Post-Cold War Era, 1990-2007

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민주주의와 자치 연구소 (Inje Institute of Democracy and Autonomy)|2010.06|비교민주주의연구 (Comparative Democratic Studies)|제6권 제1호|pp. 141-175|DOI 10.34164/injede.2010.6.1.005

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키워드

협력cooperation갈등conflict북한연구분쟁연구이벤트데이터 기법North Korea studiesconflict studiesevents data analysis

초록

이 논문의 목적은 탈냉전기 북한문제에 참여하는 각 행위자의 상호관계를 범주척도와 등간척도로 정량화하기 위한 방법론적, 기법적기반을 모색하고, 그에 따라 “한반도 분쟁－협력 데이터베이스”를 구축하는데 있다. 이를 위해 본 논문은 국제분쟁 분석에서 오랫동안 정량화의 원천으로 알려진 이벤트데이터 기법을 도입했다. 기존의 이벤트데이터 방법과 기법은 탈냉전기 한반도 상황에 맞추어 수정하였으며, 18년간(1990-2007)의 북한관련 이벤트 20,782개를 면밀하게 검토하였다. 검토결과 북한－미국, 북한－한국, 북한－일본, 북한－중국,북한－러시아 등의 양자관계로 북한분쟁을 다룬 8,353개의 데이터베이스를 생산하였다.

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to produce event data sets of interactions between actors in the North Korea question during the post-Cold War period and finally, to develop the Korean Peninsula Conflict-Cooperation Index(KOPCI). During the process,an events data method has been adopted to quantify each dyad interaction into nominal-and interval-level scales. The Events data analysis, known as a useful quantitative method in international conflict since the Cold War period, has been developed for the North Korea situation by the author. During the analysis, a total of 20,782 data has been collected and 3,353events data set has been modified by the author’s humancoding. The main dyad relations with North Korea are the U.S.,South Korea, Japan, China and Russia.

참고문헌 (52)

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