쌀소득보전직불제 성과의 실증분석

Abstract

Recently, restructuring of the rice income compensation payment program, is actively discussed to resolve various problems of the current programs. The discussed problems include the structural oversupply of rice, the equity with the farmers cultivating other crops, and the intensified income polarization among rice-farming households. The purpose of the this article is to analyze the accomplishments of the rice income compensation payment program to review the problems. The following conclusions were obtained from the analysis. First, the argument that the rice income compensation payment program has increased the rice production is not supported by empirical data. Second, the rice cultivation area was affected more by the production cost factors, such as rent, than by the price received by the farming households. Third, the increased fluctuation of the producers' rice price intensified the income instability, and thus the purpose of the rice income compensation payment program could not be accomplished. Fourth, the income polarization among rice-farming households was further intensified. Fifth, the policy costs of rice income compensation payment program and public stockholding policy have increased by more than twofold since the rice policy reform in 2005, and a trade-off relationship has been established between rice income compensation payment program and rice management cost with rice price in the harvest season as a mediator. Finally The government has purchased rice (public rice reserve+market-isolated rice) but failed to stabilize rice price in the harvest season because the market is aware of its intervention patterns.