안보의 진공을 타개하기 위한 약소국의 선택: - 전간기 중·동부유럽 5개국의 외교, 안보정책 비교연구
Small nations' choices to cope with direct security threats: a comparative study on the security strategies of the five East-Central European states between two world wars
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약소국이 안보를 위해서 선택하는 정책과 전략은 무의미하며 주변 강대국의 자비로운 의지와 국제관계의 특정한 상황 속에서만 보장될 수 있는 것인가. 본 논문에서는 이러한 질문에 대한 답을 찾기 위해 강대국의 위협에 직면한 약소국들이 어떤 선택을 했는지를 살펴보고자 한다. 전간기 중·동부유럽을 둘러싸고 벌어진 일련의 사건은 국제관계 이론과 외교정책 이론의 검증 사례로 많이 이용되고 있으며, 동시에 약소국의 외교정책과 안보전략이 실패했던 대표적인 사례로 인용되고 있다. 전간기 중·동부유럽은 이 지역을 둘러싼 강대국들 간의 국제관계와 강대국과 약소국의 관계 그리고 약소국과 약소국의 관계를 통해 생존을 위해 투쟁해야 했던 약소국들이 어떤 선택을 했는지를 살펴볼 수 있는 가장 대표적인 사례이다. 더군다나 그들이 선택했던 방안은 사실상 아무런 효력도 발휘하지 못했기 때문에 본 논문에서는 약소국이 강대국의 직접적인 군사적 위협에 처하게 될 경우 어떠한 전략을 선택하는 것이 타당한지를 제시한다. 이러한 목적을 위해 본 논문에서는 약소국이 선택할 수 있는 다양한 전략을 살펴보며, ‘가상사실(counterfactuals)’을 통해 만약 그러한 전략이 아닌 다른 전략을 선택했다면 어떠한 결과가 나타나게 되었을지를 평가한다.
Abstract
Are the policies and strategies which weak and small states choose to follow for ensuring their's own security meaningless? Can the fate of weak states be guaranteed only by the neighboring benign strong states and be in certain international relations favoring for them?In this paper, to answer these questions, what kinds of security policies and foreign policies had small states chosen which were in the face of threats of great powers will be examined. Between the two world war, the series of event which took place in central and eastern European countries(CEEc) have been selected to examine the hypothesis and theories of international relations and foreign policies, and at the same time cited as examples of failed foreign policy and security strategy. During interwar periods, CEEc were the prime examples for examining what kind of policies and strategies had the small states chosen over the international relations in which the smalls had to struggle to survive between neighbouring the powers and between the hostiles. Furthermore, for the measures which the smalls had chosen had no effect when the great power threatened military to them, the main purpose of this paper is to examine what was the best choose to depend their survival. For this purpose, in this paper, several strategies which the smalls can choose and the counterfactuals, that is "if the smalls chosen another strategies, they could...", will be examined.
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