Determinants of the Trade Volume between Korea and China's 31 Provincial Governments
1
조회
0
다운로드
4
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
Purpose: This study provides a comparative analysis of determinants of trade volume between Korea and China’s 31 provincial governments by using a panel data set for 1998-2013. Based on the analysis results, this study aims to propose a trade expansion plan for China’s 31 provincial governments and Korea, by regional classification. Composition/Logic: This paper is organized as follows. Section I clarifies the study objectives. Section II describes the trade volume between Korea and China based on six grouping provinces in China and presents the development plans of key industries. Section III presents the literature review. Section IV explains panel data settings, data collection, results, and ways to expand the volume of regional trade between the six provinces of China (three Northeastern provinces; Huanbohai provinces; Jingjinji provinces; Central provinces; Western province; and the Eeastern province) and Korea, based on the analysis results. Finally, Section V presents the conclusion. Findings: The panel data results show that the per capita GDP, degree of openness, population, and consumer price index for China’s 31 provincial governments have positive effects on the trade volume with Korea. However, Korea and China’s 31 provincial governments showed a difference variable on the trade volume between the countries. Originality/Value: The strategy to expand trade volume between Korea and China focuses on the manufacturing and agricultural sectors in Northeastern China; the service sector in Southeastern China; labor-intensive industries and trade expansion in Central provinces; finance, logistics, and education in the Southern China; and online shopping and transit trade through e-commerce cooperation in Western China.
Abstract
Purpose: This study provides a comparative analysis of determinants of trade volume between Korea and China’s 31 provincial governments by using a panel data set for 1998-2013. Based on the analysis results, this study aims to propose a trade expansion plan for China’s 31 provincial governments and Korea, by regional classification. Composition/Logic: This paper is organized as follows. Section I clarifies the study objectives. Section II describes the trade volume between Korea and China based on six grouping provinces in China and presents the development plans of key industries. Section III presents the literature review. Section IV explains panel data settings, data collection, results, and ways to expand the volume of regional trade between the six provinces of China (three Northeastern provinces; Huanbohai provinces; Jingjinji provinces; Central provinces; Western province; and the Eeastern province) and Korea, based on the analysis results. Finally, Section V presents the conclusion. Findings: The panel data results show that the per capita GDP, degree of openness, population, and consumer price index for China’s 31 provincial governments have positive effects on the trade volume with Korea. However, Korea and China’s 31 provincial governments showed a difference variable on the trade volume between the countries. Originality/Value: The strategy to expand trade volume between Korea and China focuses on the manufacturing and agricultural sectors in Northeastern China; the service sector in Southeastern China; labor-intensive industries and trade expansion in Central provinces; finance, logistics, and education in the Southern China; and online shopping and transit trade through e-commerce cooperation in Western China.
참고문헌 (22)
- Bergstrand, J. H, "The Gravity Equation in International Trade: Some Microeconomic Foundations and Empirical Evidence", Review of Economics and Statistics, 67(3), pp.471~481 (1985)
- Choi, Bong-ho, "A Study on Analysis of Trade Pattern of Busan by Gravity Model", 9(1), pp.163~177 (2003), Institute for International Trade
- Jang, Sang-sik, "Factors and Indications of the Recent Sluggish Export to China", Trade Focus, pp.1~24 (2014), Korea Trade Association
- Krugman, P, "Geography and Trade", pp.1~137 (1991), MIT Press
- Krugman, P.R, "Scale Economies, Product Differentiation and the Pattern of Trade", American Economic Review, 70, pp.950~959 (1980)
- Nam, Si-Kyung, "Free trade effectiveness analysis of the steel industries of Korea, China and Japan using the gravity model", 4(2), pp.31~53 (2004), POSRI Management Institute
- Excel, "Theory of Econometrics and Use of Eviews", pp.2010, Nam, Joon-woo
- 이두원, "중력모형을 이용한 2008년 금융위기 전후 한국의 교역결정요인 분석", 국제지역연구, 16(1), pp.243~274 (2012), 국제지역학회
- Lee, Hyeok-goo, "Present Conditions of Development and Indications of Strait West Coast Economy Zone in Fujian Province", 1(9), pp.1~13 (2010), Korea Institute for International Economic Policy
- 이상옥, "중력모형을 이용한 한국의 교역패턴 분석에 관한 연구", 관세학회지, 12(4), pp.417~432 (2011), 한국관세학회
- 박추환, "중력모형(Gravity Model)을 통한 對BRICs 무역구조분석", 국제지역연구, 10(2), pp.461~478 (2006), 국제지역학회
- Pölyhönen, P, "A tentative model for the volume of trade between countries", Welwirtschaftliches Archiv, 90, pp.93~99 (1963)
- Prewo, W, "Determinants of the Trade Pattern among OECD Countries from 1958 to 1974", Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, 193, pp.341~358 (1978)
- Pulliainen, K, "A World Trade Study: An Econometric Model of the Pattern of the Commodity Flows of International Trade in 1948-60", Economiska Samfundets Tijdskrift, 16, pp.78~91 (1963)
- Restrospect and Prospect on Economic Cooperation Between Korea and China: Southeast China, "Noh, Soo-Hyun", Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, 1~18 (2012)
- 박숙진, "중력모형을 활용한 ASEAN-EU 무역의 실증분석", 산업경제연구, 23(3), pp.1239~1258 (2010), 한국산업경제학회
- Venables A.J., "Equilibrium Location of Vertically Linked Industries", International Economic Review, 37, pp.341~359 (1996)
