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Counterterrorism with Cross-Border Spillover

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This paper examines two types of cross-border spillover effects in counterterrorism. “Technological spillover” occurs when increased terror activities in a country facilitate knowledge transfer from domestic to foreign terrorists. “Displacement effect,” on the other hand, occurs when decreased domestic terror activities induce an increase in terror activities in a foreign country. When countries are symmetric, each country invests too little or too much in counterterrorism depending on which of the two effects dominates. When countries are asymmetric, however, such a conclusion does not hold. In particular, it is shown that a “net exporter” of terrorism will invest too much in counterterrorism if the asymmetry is sufficiently large.

Abstract

This paper examines two types of cross-border spillover effects in counterterrorism. “Technological spillover” occurs when increased terror activities in a country facilitate knowledge transfer from domestic to foreign terrorists. “Displacement effect,” on the other hand, occurs when decreased domestic terror activities induce an increase in terror activities in a foreign country. When countries are symmetric, each country invests too little or too much in counterterrorism depending on which of the two effects dominates. When countries are asymmetric, however, such a conclusion does not hold. In particular, it is shown that a “net exporter” of terrorism will invest too much in counterterrorism if the asymmetry is sufficiently large.

참고문헌 (15)

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  10. Pape, R., "Dying to Win: The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism" (2005), Random House
  11. Rosendorff, B. P., "Too Much of a Good Thing?: The Proactive Response Dilemma", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 48(5), pp.657~671 (2004)
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  13. Sandler, T., "Global Terrorism: Deterrence versus Preemption", Canadian Journal of Economics, 39(4), pp.1370~1387 (2006)
  14. Siqueira, K., "Terrorist Backlash, Terrorism Mitigation, and Policy Delegation", Journal of Public Economics, 91(9), pp.1800~1815 (2007)
  15. Stern, J., "Terror in the Name of God: Why Religious Militants Kill" (2003), HarperCollins

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