The Impact of passenger volume and transportation revenue change following the Implementation of the City Bus Quasi-Public Operation System - Focusing on the BRT system of Busan City –
0
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
The purpose of this study is to analyze the effectiveness of city bus policies. City buses are a means of transportation closely related to the lives of the common people. The city bus fare has been restrained from increasing for the sake of stabilizing the economy of the common people. As a result, the Quasi-Public Operation System was implemented, in which the portion of the operating deficit was filled with public funds. Through the implementation of the Quasi-Public Operation System, local governments could maintain the policy that guarantees the transportation rights of the disadvantaged, operation of low-floor buses for the disabled, and discount on fares for the elderly, children and youth, etc., as part of realizing a welfare society for the underprivileged in our society. In the case of BRT, the purpose is punctuality and promptness, and efficient operation to increase the number of users can bring positive effects. If the punctuality and promptness of city buses are secured, there will be an inducement effect for users. For the analysis, 71 non-BRT section routes in Busan and 12 routes in the experimental group BRT section were selected and PSM analysis and Fixed effect analysis were performed. In the effect analysis of the BRT section in Busan, the number of users increased by 73,600 for three years from 2017 to 2019 in the case of PSM near-neighbor matching, and by 73,300 in kernel matching. In logarithmic revenue, 0.09 (9%) increased for PSM near-neighbor matching, and the same 0.09 (9%) increased for kernel matching.
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to analyze the effectiveness of city bus policies. City buses are a means of transportation closely related to the lives of the common people. The city bus fare has been restrained from increasing for the sake of stabilizing the economy of the common people. As a result, the Quasi-Public Operation System was implemented, in which the portion of the operating deficit was filled with public funds. Through the implementation of the Quasi-Public Operation System, local governments could maintain the policy that guarantees the transportation rights of the disadvantaged, operation of low-floor buses for the disabled, and discount on fares for the elderly, children and youth, etc., as part of realizing a welfare society for the underprivileged in our society. In the case of BRT, the purpose is punctuality and promptness, and efficient operation to increase the number of users can bring positive effects. If the punctuality and promptness of city buses are secured, there will be an inducement effect for users. For the analysis, 71 non-BRT section routes in Busan and 12 routes in the experimental group BRT section were selected and PSM analysis and Fixed effect analysis were performed. In the effect analysis of the BRT section in Busan, the number of users increased by 73,600 for three years from 2017 to 2019 in the case of PSM near-neighbor matching, and by 73,300 in kernel matching. In logarithmic revenue, 0.09 (9%) increased for PSM near-neighbor matching, and the same 0.09 (9%) increased for kernel matching.
참고문헌 (46)
- 김성은, "BRT 운영에 따른 시민의식 분석과 개선방안에 대한 고찰", 석사, pp.2019
- 김종진, "부산광역권 도시철도 계획노선의 간선급행버스체계 대체 타당성에 관한 연구", 석사, 도시공학과, pp.2012
- 김주인, "버스운영의 준공영제 도입 효과에 관한 연구 : 서울시 대중교통개편 사례를 중심으로", 석사, 행정관리, pp.2007
- 김희영, "도시 공공서비스 시설의 공급 결정요인", 석사, 행정학, pp.2001
- 나금환, "친환경 녹색교통정책집행에 미치는 영향요인에 관한 연구 : 수도권 BRT 시범사업을 중심으로", 박사, 행정학과, pp.2011
- 박수영, "도시공공서비스 이론에 관한 연구", 경희법학, 28(1), pp.239~259 (1993)
- 안현진, "시내버스 준공영제를 통한 운송관리 효율화 방안 연구", 석사, 토목환경공학, pp.2010
- 이종수, "탈신공공관리(Post-NPM) 개혁 전략의 모색", 한국사회와 행정연구, 21(1), pp.29~47 (2010), 서울행정학회
- 이훈기, "교통수요관리시책의 통합시행에 따른 통행행태 변화 및 대기오염 개선효과", 국토계획, 40(4), pp.175~185 (2005), 대한국토·도시계획학회
- 박준환, "버스준공영제 시행에 따른 지방자치단체의 재정 부담과 과제" (2009), 국회입법조사처
- 서민지, "근로장려세제(한국형EITC)가 근로빈곤층의 소득과 노동공급에 미치는 영향 분석", 석사, 경제학과 경제학전공, pp.2012
- 은철규, "BRT시스템을 고려한 도시간선도로 횡단면 설계 개선방안 연구", 박사, 교통공학, pp.2009
- 부산 버스준공영제 시행방안 연구, "이원규", 부산발전연구원, ~ (2006)
- 이성복, "도시행정론" (2000), 법문사
- 진선미, "사회서비스 지속성이 기혼여성의 경제활동참여 및 참여형태에 미치는 영향에 관한 종단연구: 혼합다항로지스틱 회귀모형(mixed-effects multinominal logistic regression model)의 활용", 보건사회연구, 31(3), pp.38~69 (2011), 한국보건사회연구원[DOI]
- 최슬기, "국민의료보장에서 민간의료보험의 역할과 관리실태 분석", pp.12~ (2020), 감사원 감사연구원
- 한종학, "준공영제 시행이후 인천광역시내버스 노선효율성 분석", 교통기술과 정책, 8(3), pp.16~ (2011)
- 허명회, "응용데이터분석 Applied Data Analysis Using R" (2014), 자유아카데미
- "국토교통부"[URL]
- "부산시청"[URL]
- Abadie, A, "Implementing matching estimators for average treatment effects in Stata", The Stata Journal, 4(3), pp.290~311
- Austin, P. C, "The performance of different propensity‐score methods for estimating differences in proportions (risk differences or absolute risk reductions)in observational studies", Statistics in medicine, 29(20), pp.2137~2148 (2010)
- Becker, S, O, "Estimation of average treatment effects based on propensity scores", The Stata Journal, 2(4), pp.1~19 (2002)
- BOGNETTI, G, "LOCAL PUBLIC SERVICES IN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES: MAIN RESULTS OF A RESEARCH PROJECT BY CIRIEC INTERNATIONAL", Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, 83(4), pp.1~21 (2012), Blackwell Publishing Ltd
- Brookhart, M. A, "Variable selection for propensity score models", American journal of epidemiology, 163(12), pp.1149~1156 (2006)
- Caliendo M, "Some Practical Guidance for the Implementation of Propensity Score Matching", Journal of Economics Surveys, 22(1), pp.31~72 (2008)
- Carolyn J Heinrich, "Dimensions of publicness and performance in substance abuse treatment organizations", Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 23(1), pp.61~62 (2004)
- "Public service markets: Their economics, institutional oversight and regulation" (2015)[URL]
- Dawid, A. P, "Conditional independence in statistical theory", Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B(Methodological),, 41(1), pp.1~31 (1979)
- Garen, J, "The returns to schooling: A selectivity bias approach with a continuous choice variable", Journal of the Econometric Society, 52(5), pp.1199~1218 (1984)
- Glazerman, S, "Nonexperimental versus experimental estimates of earnings impacts", The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 589(1), pp.63~93 (2003)
- Heckman, J, "Characterizing selection bias using experimental data", Econometrica, 66(5), pp.1017~1098 (1998)
- Heckman, J. J, "Matching as an econometrics evaluation estimator: Evidence from evaluating a job training programme", The review of economic studies, 64(4), pp.605~654 (1997)
- Hirano, K, "Estimation of causal effects using propensity score weighting: An application to data on right heart catheterization", Health Services and Outcomes research methodology, 2(3-4), pp.259~278 (2001)
- "Bus Rapid Transit Practitioner's Guide. Transportation Research Board of National Academies, Chapter 4-Component Features, Costs, and Impacts" (2007)[URL]
- Imbens, Guido, "Optimal bandwidth choice for the regression discontinuity estimator", The Review of Economic Studies, pp.1~27 (2011)
- K Watkins, "Analysis of Recent Public Transit Ridership Trends", pp.108~ (2020), THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS
- Rubin, D. B, "Using propensity scores to help design observational studies:application to the tobacco litigation", Health Services and Outcomes Research Methodology, 2(3-4), pp.169~188 (2001)
- Rubin, D. B, "Estimating causal effects of treatments in randomized and nonrandomized studies", Journal of educational Psychology, 66(5), pp.688~ (1974)
- Rubin, D. B, "Bayesian inference for causal effects: The role of randomization", The Annals of statistics, 6(1), pp.34~58 (1978)
- Rubin, D. B, "Characterizing the effect of matching using linear propensity score methods with normal distributions", Biometrika, 79(4), pp.797~809 (1992)
- Rosenbaum, P. R, "The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects", Biometrika, 70(1), pp.41~55 (1983)
- Todd, Albert May, "Chicago, Ill., Public ownership league of America Chicago, Illinois", pp.119~122 (1918)
- Tucker, J. W, "Selection bias and econometric remedies in accounting and finance research", Journal of Accounting Literature, 29, pp.31~57 (2010)
- Wallsten, S. J, "The effects of government-industry R&D programs on private R&D: the case of the Small Business Innovation Research program", The RAND Journal of Economics, 31(1), pp.82~100 (2000)
- Zatti, A, "NEW ORGANIZATIONAL MODELS IN EUROPEAN LOCAL PUBLIC", 83(4), pp.533~559 (2012), Blackwell Publishing Ltd