The Causes of the Ukraine War and Russia's Decision to invade: A Comparative Analysis of the Aggression in Afghanistan
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The purpose of this paper is to compare the causes of the Ukraine War and the factors that contributed to determining the Ukraine war with the 1979 Afghanistan War. To this end, the first of Waltz's three images was considered to be descriptive, suggesting the factors that Putin's perception had on the war in Ukraine. Soviet leadership in 1979 and Russian President Putin in 2022 showed the repeatability of deciding war in almost the same thought structure. The similarities include unrealistic political goals, discussions, and decisions by a small coterie, low awareness of the international environment, optimistic success scenarios, and disregard for international political and economic costs. In this paper, for comparing the two decision-making, it can be confirmed that the closed ruling elite's discussion structure and decision-making, the leader's prejudice, and the illegal invasion of vulnerable countries to form a sphere of influence in the neighboring countries are equally handed down.
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to compare the causes of the Ukraine War and the factors that contributed to determining the Ukraine war with the 1979 Afghanistan War. To this end, the first of Waltz's three images was considered to be descriptive, suggesting the factors that Putin's perception had on the war in Ukraine. Soviet leadership in 1979 and Russian President Putin in 2022 showed the repeatability of deciding war in almost the same thought structure. The similarities include unrealistic political goals, discussions, and decisions by a small coterie, low awareness of the international environment, optimistic success scenarios, and disregard for international political and economic costs. In this paper, for comparing the two decision-making, it can be confirmed that the closed ruling elite's discussion structure and decision-making, the leader's prejudice, and the illegal invasion of vulnerable countries to form a sphere of influence in the neighboring countries are equally handed down.
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