The Role of Political Will in Conflict Outcomes of Aceh and Moro Insurgencies in Southeast Asia
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This paper intends to focus on two asymmetric conflicts in Southeast Asia. One is the Aceh insurgency in Indonesia and the other is the Moro insurgency in the Philippines. Both cases have recently ended with relatively successful conflict outcomes. As for these cases, this paper is to address the question of what chiefly determined the successful outcomes of the Aceh and Moro insurgencies. It clarifies and examines the factors that affected the outcome of both conflicts. In taking particular note of the special conditions apparent in the Aceh and Moro cases of the asymmetry of the conflicting parties, this paper argues that the political will of the incumbent state involved is the chief factor of the outcomes of the Aceh and Moro insurgencies. Yet, it does not claim to establish a definitive distinct causative factor for the outcomes in both cases. What this paper stresses is that the political will of the Indonesian and Filipino governments to secure relatively peaceful outcomes of the conflicts outweighs any other dynamic to become the chief factor contributing to the outcomes of the respective conflicts.
Abstract
This paper intends to focus on two asymmetric conflicts in Southeast Asia. One is the Aceh insurgency in Indonesia and the other is the Moro insurgency in the Philippines. Both cases have recently ended with relatively successful conflict outcomes. As for these cases, this paper is to address the question of what chiefly determined the successful outcomes of the Aceh and Moro insurgencies. It clarifies and examines the factors that affected the outcome of both conflicts. In taking particular note of the special conditions apparent in the Aceh and Moro cases of the asymmetry of the conflicting parties, this paper argues that the political will of the incumbent state involved is the chief factor of the outcomes of the Aceh and Moro insurgencies. Yet, it does not claim to establish a definitive distinct causative factor for the outcomes in both cases. What this paper stresses is that the political will of the Indonesian and Filipino governments to secure relatively peaceful outcomes of the conflicts outweighs any other dynamic to become the chief factor contributing to the outcomes of the respective conflicts.
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