Will Israel take military strike against Iran?
0
조회
0
다운로드
1
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
Will Israel take military strike against Iran? The intent of this paper is to answer this question. More specifically, will the enduring conflict between Israel and Iran affect the Israeli decision‐making towards the Iranian nuclear program?The article begins with the theoretical consideration of the enduring conflict. This is followed by the intra‐Israel debates on the military strike against Iranian nuclear facilities. The author argues that the possibility of Israeli military strike against Iran is higher than we expect because of the structure of enduring conflict between the two states. In particular, Israeli negative perception of Iran,Israeli self‐image as a ‘victim’, and Israeli history of attacking enemies without allies’ support may push Israel to take a military strike against Iran.
Abstract
Will Israel take military strike against Iran? The intent of this paper is to answer this question. More specifically, will the enduring conflict between Israel and Iran affect the Israeli decision‐making towards the Iranian nuclear program?The article begins with the theoretical consideration of the enduring conflict. This is followed by the intra‐Israel debates on the military strike against Iranian nuclear facilities. The author argues that the possibility of Israeli military strike against Iran is higher than we expect because of the structure of enduring conflict between the two states. In particular, Israeli negative perception of Iran,Israeli self‐image as a ‘victim’, and Israeli history of attacking enemies without allies’ support may push Israel to take a military strike against Iran.
참고문헌 (37)
- Allin, D., "The Sixth Crisis: Iran, Israel, America, and the Rumors of War" (2010), Oxford University Press
- Azar, E., "The Structure of Inequalities and Protracted Social Conflict: A Theoretical Framework", International Interactions, 7(4), pp.317~335 (1981)
- Benn, A., "Churchill and his disciple", Haaretz Daily, ~ (2009)
- BESA (the Begin‐Sadat Center for Strategic Studies), "Israeli Views of President Obama and US‐Israel Relations", ~ (2009)
- Brecher, M., "Crises in World Politics: Theory and Reality" (1993), Pergamon
- Chang, K. R., "Chomsky’s View of the Israeli‐Palestinian Conflict", Chomskyan Studies, 3(1), pp.37~47 (2008)
- Gochman, C. S., "Militarized Interstate Disputes, 1816‐1976: Procedures, Patterns, Insights", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 28(4), pp.585~615 (1984)
- Grace, F., "Games of Mass Delusion: The origins of religions, ideologies, and their resulting conflicts" (2013), Create Space Independent Publishing Platform
- Inbar, E., "The Imperative to Use Force Against Iranian Nuclearization,” The Begin‐Sadat Center for Strategic Studies (BESA), BESA Center Perspectives Papers on Current Affairs", Perspectives, 12 (2005)
- Jervis, R., "Political Implications of Loss Aversion", Political Psychology, 13(2), pp.187~204 (1992)
- Risk and Rivalry: Iran, Israel and the Bomb, "Kahl, C. H.", Center for a New American Security, ~ (2012)
- Kahneman, D., "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under R", Econometrica, 47(2), pp.263~291 (1979)
- Katz, Y., "Israel vs. Iran: The Shadow War" (2012), Potomac Books
- Kaye, D. D., "Israel and Iran: A Dangerous Rivalry" (2011), Rand Corporation
- Khan, S., "Iran and Nuclear Weapons: Protracted Conflict and Proliferation" (2009), Routledge
- Crossroads: The Future of the US‐Israel Strategic Partnership, "Malka, H.", Center for Strategic and International Studies, ~ (2011)
- Melman, Y., "The Nuclear Sphinx of Tehran" (2007), Carroll and Graf Publishers
- Neustadt, R. E., "Thinking in Time: The Uses of History for Decision Makers" (1986), The Free Press
- Parsi, T., "Treacherous Alliance: The Secret Dealings of Israel, Iran and the United States" (2007), Yale University Press
- Paul, T. V., "Nuclear Proliferation and Regional Conflicts", a paper presented at the International Peace Conference, pp.17~19 (1996), Kyung Hee University
- Pedatzur, R., "The Iranian Nuclear Threat and the Israeli Options", Contemporary Security Policy, 28(3) (2007)
- Sadr, E. I., ""The Impact of Iran’s Nuclearization on Israel, "Middle East Policy, 12(2), Summer 2005", Middle East Policy, 12(2), pp.58~72 (2005)
- Vertzberger, Y. Y., "The World in Their Minds" (1990), Stanford University Press
- Williams, J. T., "The Dimension of Superpower Rivalry: A Dynamic Factor Analysis", Journal of Conflict Resolution, 36(1), pp.86~118 (1992)
- Israel: Possible Military Strike Against Iran’s Nuclear Facilities, "Zanotti, J.", CRS, ~ (2012)
- "Goodbye, Ahmadinejad: Rouhani takes over as Iran’s president’"[URL]
- The Daily Caller, "Iran committed to ‘full annihilation of Israel,’ says top Iranian military commander", ~ (2012)
- "Peres says that Iran can also be wipe off the map" (2006)[URL]
- Jodi, R., "Netanyahu Says He’d Go It Alone on Striking Iran", The New York Times, ~ (2012)
- "Israel renews threats against Iran nuclear program"[URL]
- "Full Text of Netanyahu Speech to AIPAC 2012" (2012)[URL]
- "To annihilate Israel we need 24 hours, an excuse" (2012)[URL]
- Pemnick, D., "The Vegetarian", New Yorker, ~ (2012)
- Pfeffer, A., "Will They?", Tablet, ~ (2011)
- Rubin, B., "Israel Isn’t Going to Attack Iran and Neither Will the United Sates", PJ Media, ~ (2012)
- Shavit, A., "A grave warning on Iran from ‘the decision maker'", Ha’aretz, ~ (2012)