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Spatio-temporal dependence in a hedonic house price model

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주제분류경제학

초록

동일 주택 시장 내 유사한 주택들의 거래 가격은 주택 구매자와 판매자에게 있어 가장 접근이 용이하고 용인되기 적합한 참고 가격 중 하나이다. 따라서 시공간적으로 근접한 주택 거래 가격들 간에는 상관관계가 존재할 것이다. 본 연구는 이러한 주택거래가격들 간의 시공간 의존성을 고려한 헤도닉 가격 모델 (Hedonic price model)을 통하여 주택 가격을 추정하고자 한다. 서울 주택 시장 내의 46,000개의 아파트 매매 및 전세 실거래가 데이터를 기반으로 한 본 논문의 실증 분석은 매매가와 전세가에서 모두 유의한 수준의 거래 가격 간 시공간 상호 의존성이 존재함을 나타낸다. 이러한 효과를 고려한 시공간 헤도닉 모델 (Spatio-temporal hedonic price model)은 일반적 헤도닉 모델과 비교하여 향상된 모델 설명력을 제공한다. 본 연구는 또한 시간적 인과관계를 고려하지 않은 주택 거래 가격 간 공간 의존성 측정의 위험성을 지적한다.

Abstract

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참고문헌 (36)

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