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The Implications of the Cheonan Sinking: A Security Studies Perspective

Bruce E. Bechtol Jr.
통일연구원 (YONSEI INSTITUTE FOR NORTH KOREAN STUDIES)|2010.12|International Journal of Korean Unification Studies|제19권 제2호|pp. 1-40|DOI 10.33728/ijkus.2010.19.2.001

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참고문헌

키워드

CheonanNorthern Limit Linemilitary provocationNorth Korean militaryU.N. controlled islands

초록

The March 26, 2010 sinking of the ROK ship Cheonan was a deliberate, well planned act of violence carried out by North Korean military forces. Evidence now available reveals a change in military leadership that enabled Special Operations Forces and other personnel in their missions to conduct brinkmanship and provocations in the Northern Limit Line area. In addition, the results of the investigation conducted by experts from five democratic nations provided compelling evidence regarding the type of naval craft used (submarine), the weapon used (torpedo), and the circumstances surrounding the day that a North Korean military attack was carried out against a ROK naval ship on a peaceful mission in its own sovereign waters. North Korean actions following the attack consisted largely of denial and defiance. These actions set back inter-Korean relations by at least a year. Thus, future provocations and brinkmanship in the Northern Limit Line area are not only possible, but likely. It is also likely that future acts of violence in the area will be conducted using different tactics, techniques, procedures, and perhaps even different kinds of military forces. Containment of Pyongyang’s rogue behavior and deterrence against future provocations needs to be a high priority for the ROK-U.S. military alliance.

Abstract

The March 26, 2010 sinking of the ROK ship Cheonan was a deliberate, well planned act of violence carried out by North Korean military forces. Evidence now available reveals a change in military leadership that enabled Special Operations Forces and other personnel in their missions to conduct brinkmanship and provocations in the Northern Limit Line area. In addition, the results of the investigation conducted by experts from five democratic nations provided compelling evidence regarding the type of naval craft used (submarine), the weapon used (torpedo), and the circumstances surrounding the day that a North Korean military attack was carried out against a ROK naval ship on a peaceful mission in its own sovereign waters. North Korean actions following the attack consisted largely of denial and defiance. These actions set back inter-Korean relations by at least a year. Thus, future provocations and brinkmanship in the Northern Limit Line area are not only possible, but likely. It is also likely that future acts of violence in the area will be conducted using different tactics, techniques, procedures, and perhaps even different kinds of military forces. Containment of Pyongyang’s rogue behavior and deterrence against future provocations needs to be a high priority for the ROK-U.S. military alliance.

참고문헌 (51)

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관련 논문AI추천

The Impact of North Korea’s Asymmetric Attack on South Korea’s Blue Water Navy Strategy : The Examination of the ROKN Cheonan Incident반길주화랑대연구소 · 한국군사학논집2012 · 제68권 제2호An Assessment of the Security Environment and Challenges in the Post-Cheonan Era: A South Korean Perspective최강, 김민성통일연구원 · International Journal of Korean Unification Studies2010 · 제19권 제2호ROK Diplomacy: Navigating Uncharted Waters The Historic Significance of the Cheonan Incident for ROK Foreign PolicyShotaro Yachi통일연구원 · International Journal of Korean Unification Studies2010 · 제19권 제2호THE SINKING OF Cheŏnan: REMEMBERING THE TRAGEDY ON ITS 10TH ANNIVERSARY이정훈신아시아연구소 · 신아세아2020 · 제27권 제1호‘천안함’ 사건 이후의 한반도 정세이동복신아시아연구소 · 신아세아2010 · 제17권 제2호ROK-U.S. Cooperation in Preparation for Hostile Actions by North Korea in Possession of Nuclear WeaponsPark Chang Kwoun한국국방연구원 · The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis2010 · 제22권 제4호

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