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An Assessment of the Security Environment and Challenges in the Post-Cheonan Era: A South Korean Perspective

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The Cheonan incident has brought the biggest security challenges to South Korea since the end of the Korean War. These challenges include the multiplying North Korean security challenges, the rise of China and changes in the strategic landscape in Northeast Asia, the hard, cold reality of international politics, and a weak domestic posture toward preventing and handling North Korean provocations. To overcome these challenges, South Korea needs to widen the scope of its security paradigm to reflect the bigger picture of the North Korea question. It is also necessary for South Korea to pay more attention to the security environment of Northeast Asia, which is fundamentally conditioned by the shifting U.S.-Chinese power structure. In addition, South Korea should view issues from various angles and devise comprehensive measures and approaches toward present and future security challenges. There are several measures for consideration. First, South Korea must establish a comprehensive security platform, including military and non-military means, to prevent North Korea from attempting any kind of military provocation. Second, South Korea should mobilize and secure the understanding and support of the concerned countries on fundamental issues, such as the nature of North Korean regime, the desirable end state on the Korean Peninsula, and the roadmap and action plan for reaching that end state. Third, South Korea should develop its own security network to minimize the impact of the shifting balance of power between the U.S. and China. Finally, South Korea should consolidate a domestic base for security and North Korea policy by enhancing domestic strategic communication.

Abstract

The Cheonan incident has brought the biggest security challenges to South Korea since the end of the Korean War. These challenges include the multiplying North Korean security challenges, the rise of China and changes in the strategic landscape in Northeast Asia, the hard, cold reality of international politics, and a weak domestic posture toward preventing and handling North Korean provocations. To overcome these challenges, South Korea needs to widen the scope of its security paradigm to reflect the bigger picture of the North Korea question. It is also necessary for South Korea to pay more attention to the security environment of Northeast Asia, which is fundamentally conditioned by the shifting U.S.-Chinese power structure. In addition, South Korea should view issues from various angles and devise comprehensive measures and approaches toward present and future security challenges. There are several measures for consideration. First, South Korea must establish a comprehensive security platform, including military and non-military means, to prevent North Korea from attempting any kind of military provocation. Second, South Korea should mobilize and secure the understanding and support of the concerned countries on fundamental issues, such as the nature of North Korean regime, the desirable end state on the Korean Peninsula, and the roadmap and action plan for reaching that end state. Third, South Korea should develop its own security network to minimize the impact of the shifting balance of power between the U.S. and China. Finally, South Korea should consolidate a domestic base for security and North Korea policy by enhancing domestic strategic communication.

참고문헌 (27)

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