기상 요인이 국립공원 탐방수요에 미치는 영향 분석
Analysis on the Effect of Meteorological Factors on National Park Exploration Demand
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초록
기상이 산업의 성패를 결정짓는 상황에서 범지구적인 기후변화의 심각성이 날로 더해지고 있다. 특히 국립공원은 야외활동 중심의 탐방 특성과 산이라는 지리적 특성을 가지므로 이러한 기상과 기후변화에 따라 탐방객의 수요 및 만족도가 크게 좌우된다. 이러한 맥락에서 본 연구는 기상 요인과 국립공원 탐방수요 간 관계를 계량적으로 분석하여 국립공원 탐방수요에 미치는 기상 요인을 도출하고, 그 영향력을 평가하였다. 분석 결과, 단풍시기에는 강수 요인이 탐방수요에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며, 강수에 따른 국립공원 탐방수요는 평일·휴일에 의해 조절되었다. 비단풍시기에는 강수와 기온이 통계적으로 유의하였으며, 해당 요인에 따른 탐방수요 또한 평일·휴일에 의해 조절되었다. 연구 결과를 토대로 기상 요인에 따른 국립공원 탐방수요의 변화를 파악하여 향후 적합한 공원 관리 운영방안 수립이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.
Abstract
In a situation where weather determines the success or failure of an industry, the seriousness of global climate change is increasingly pronounced. National parks, particularly characterized by outdoor activities and mountainous terrain, are significantly influenced by such weather and climate variations as they greatly impact visitor demand and satisfaction. In this context, this study quantitatively analyzed the relationship between weather factors and demand for national park visits, deriving weather factors affecting national park visitation demand and evaluating their impact. The analysis revealed that precipitation factors influenced visitation demand during the autumn season, with demand being regulated by weekdays and holidays. During non-autumn seasons, both precipitation and temperature were statistically significant, with visitation demand being regulated by weekdays and holidays based on these factors as well. Based on the research findings, it is deemed possible to establish appropriate park management and operational strategies by understanding changes in national park visitation demand according to weather factors.
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