강력범죄의 구조적 요인에 대한 공간회귀분석
Spatial Analyses on Structural Causal Factors of Serious Crime
0
조회
0
다운로드
33
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This study performed spatial regression analyses on the causal relationship between structural covariates and serious crimes such as robbery and sex offense, using all 424 Dong Districts of Seoul. Results showed that both robbery and sex offense were spatially dependent, and in particular sex offense was spatially heterogeneous which suggested more detailed neighborhood research in smaller scale is necessary for detecting exact causal process. ‘Number of people per house’ made the strongest effects on both types of crimes, which indicated that restoration of the function of family is critical in preventing crime in Korea where the value of family is still crucial in social life. For other alternatives, residential stability, strong neighborhood bond, concern and compassion on foreigners, and unity among diverse people appeared necessary. Community research in smaller scale than Dong Districts requires that more detailed data be open for research purpose, which in turn will be helpful in implementing more effective and efficient crime control policies.
Abstract
This study performed spatial regression analyses on the causal relationship between structural covariates and serious crimes such as robbery and sex offense, using all 424 Dong Districts of Seoul. Results showed that both robbery and sex offense were spatially dependent, and in particular sex offense was spatially heterogeneous which suggested more detailed neighborhood research in smaller scale is necessary for detecting exact causal process. ‘Number of people per house’ made the strongest effects on both types of crimes, which indicated that restoration of the function of family is critical in preventing crime in Korea where the value of family is still crucial in social life. For other alternatives, residential stability, strong neighborhood bond, concern and compassion on foreigners, and unity among diverse people appeared necessary. Community research in smaller scale than Dong Districts requires that more detailed data be open for research purpose, which in turn will be helpful in implementing more effective and efficient crime control policies.
참고문헌 (23)
- 김준호, "한국의 범죄피해에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구", 형사정책연구, 21(3), pp.135~172 (2010), 한국형사정책연구원
- 김현중, "수도권 5대 범죄의 결정요인: Mixed GWR모형의 적용", 서울도시연구, 12(4), pp.137~155 (2011), 서울연구원
- 박상조, "강력범죄와 언론보도의 수치관계, 그리고 시민들의 범죄발생 인식에 미치는 영향", 한국소통학회 학술대회 발표집 (2013)
- 오미진, "도시범죄에 영향을 미치는 도시환경특성에 관한 연구 : 서울시 5대 범죄를 중심으로", 석사, 도시설계, pp.2011
- 이대성, "도시지역 특성과 범죄율과의 관계에 관한 연구: 인구·사회·경제적 요인을 중심으로", 한국지방자치연구, 11(1), pp.189~206 (2009), 대한지방자치학회
- 정진성, "도시지역의 사회구조적 특성과 살인범죄와의 인과관계 : 서울시 행정동을 중심으로", 한국콘텐츠학회 논문지, 13(3), pp.152~161 (2013), 한국콘텐츠학회
- 정진성, "지역사회의 생태학적 변인이 범죄율에 미치는 영향: 성장곡선모형을 이용한 종단적 분석", 형사정책연구, 19(3), pp.251~290 (2008), 한국형사정책연구원
- 정진성, "지역사회의 구조적 특성이 살인범죄에 미치는 영향 : 전국 시군구를 대상으로 한 음이항 회귀분석", 형사정책연구, 21(1), pp.91~119 (2010), 한국형사정책연구원
- 정진성, "사획구조적 지역특성과 살인범죄에 관한 다층모형분석", 통계연구, 18(1), pp.1~15 (2013), 통계청
- 정진성, "살인범죄의 원인에 대한 거시적 분석: GIS를 활용한 공간회귀모델링", 형사정책, 22(1), pp.157~184 (2010), 한국형사정책학회
- 정철호, "강력범죄 피의자의 신상공개에 대한 법적 고찰", 한국콘텐츠학회 논문지, 12(7), pp.156~168 (2012), 한국콘텐츠학회
- Anselin, L, "Under the Hood : Issues in the Specification and Interpretation of Spatial Regression Models", Agricultural Economics, 27 (2002)
- Anselin, L., "Exploring Spatial Data with GeoDaTM. A Workbook", Spatial Analysis Laboratory, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, ~ (2005)
- Bailey, T. C., "Interactive Spatial Analysis" (1995), Prentice Hall
- Baller, R. D., "Structural Covariates of U. S. County Homicide Rates : Incorporating Spatial Effects", Criminology, 39 (2001)
- Belsley, D. A., "Regression Diagnostics" (1980), John Wiley
- Cheong, J., "Neiborhood Disorder, Dilapidated Housing, and Crime: Multilevel Analysis within a Midsized Midwestern City Context", 박사
- Clarke, R.V., "Introduction In Situational Crime Prevention: Successful Case Studies" (1997), Harrow and Heston
- Lab, S.P., "Crime Prevention: Approaches, Practices, and Evaluations" (2007), LexisNexis
- Messner, S. F., "Spatial Analysis of Homicide with Areal Data In Spatially Integrated Social Science" (2004), Oxford University Press
- Sampson, R. J., "Systematic Social Observations of Public Spaces : A New Look at Disorder in Urban Neighborhoods", The American Journal of Sociology, 105 (1999)
- Wilcox, P., "Busy Places and Broken Windows? Toward Defining the Role of Physical Structure and Process in Community Crime Models", Sociological Quarterly, 45 (2004)
- Williams, F.P., "Criminological Theory" (2003), Pearson Prentice Hall
